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General Discussion

ProfessorGAC

(76,858 posts)

3. Boy Do i Not Agree

Reply to RandySF (Original post)

Fri Oct 20, 2017, 11:09 AM

Oct 2017

The idea that different methodology producing results differing by this multiple of margin of error means either; one of the methods is badly flawed, or both methods are badly flawed.

I don't accept the "herd" hypothesis. If these were good methods with adequate sample size, two polls should not differ by this much.

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Highlight:

538: Calm Down About Those Virginia Polls, Folks [View all] RandySF Oct 2017 OP

It will all come down to turnout. The GOP base who thinks that blocking women's healthcare and FSogol Oct 2017 #1

K & R ......for truth...nt Wounded Bear Oct 2017 #2

Yuuuuuge droves! world wide wally Oct 2017 #4

Boy Do i Not Agree ProfessorGAC Oct 2017 #3

Pollsters are desperately trying to find good methods lagomorph777 Oct 2017 #5

I Know People Who Work At Pew ProfessorGAC Oct 2017 #6

Those external problems do affect the utility of a poll for predicting outcomes. lagomorph777 Oct 2017 #7

Well, We Disagree Greatly ProfessorGAC Oct 2017 #8

Thanks for your presumption about what I care about. lagomorph777 Oct 2017 #9

Whatever! ProfessorGAC Oct 2017 #10

Sampling theory is not only about the math. lagomorph777 Oct 2017 #11

It seems to me that accurate polling would depend on everyone or almost everyone telling the truth. Tobin S. Oct 2017 #12

Shy Tory Factor Awsi Dooger Oct 2017 #13

How does a pollster compile a representative sample? Yavin4 Oct 2017 #14

Exactly! Even defining "representative" is tricky lagomorph777 Oct 2017 #15

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