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lagomorph777

(30,613 posts)

11. Sampling theory is not only about the math.

Reply to ProfessorGAC (Reply #10)

Mon Oct 23, 2017, 12:11 AM

Oct 2017

Though I am fairly familiar with the math too.

If I sample 100,000 people instead of the usual 1,000 they use, it won't improve the result unless I sample a representative 100,000 people. That's the problem here, not the math, Prof. Gack.

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538: Calm Down About Those Virginia Polls, Folks [View all] RandySF Oct 2017 OP

It will all come down to turnout. The GOP base who thinks that blocking women's healthcare and FSogol Oct 2017 #1

K & R ......for truth...nt Wounded Bear Oct 2017 #2

Yuuuuuge droves! world wide wally Oct 2017 #4

Boy Do i Not Agree ProfessorGAC Oct 2017 #3

Pollsters are desperately trying to find good methods lagomorph777 Oct 2017 #5

I Know People Who Work At Pew ProfessorGAC Oct 2017 #6

Those external problems do affect the utility of a poll for predicting outcomes. lagomorph777 Oct 2017 #7

Well, We Disagree Greatly ProfessorGAC Oct 2017 #8

Thanks for your presumption about what I care about. lagomorph777 Oct 2017 #9

Whatever! ProfessorGAC Oct 2017 #10

Sampling theory is not only about the math. lagomorph777 Oct 2017 #11

It seems to me that accurate polling would depend on everyone or almost everyone telling the truth. Tobin S. Oct 2017 #12

Shy Tory Factor Awsi Dooger Oct 2017 #13

How does a pollster compile a representative sample? Yavin4 Oct 2017 #14

Exactly! Even defining "representative" is tricky lagomorph777 Oct 2017 #15