Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

General Discussion

Xolodno

(7,336 posts)

9. Depends on...

Reply to morningfog (Original post)

Thu Jul 19, 2012, 01:06 PM

Jul 2012

...when the Russians and Chinese are willing to throw in the towel. Tunisia and Egypt, both Western backed dictators...gone. Libya...starting to appease the West...dead dictator.

Syria....Eastern backed dictator. They may try to prop him up for some time to show other dictators that if you go with them, you won't be abandoned like Western supported dictators.

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

12 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

How long do you give Assad? [View all] morningfog Jul 2012 OP

The more important question is what comes after he leaves. Blue Meany Jul 2012 #1

Agreed. He has to go, but it will result in a power vacuum that will morningfog Jul 2012 #2

Yep, we are looking at civil war and partition, or failed state. bemildred Jul 2012 #12

A lot longer than yesterday, when the regime changers claimed he had already fled. leveymg Jul 2012 #3

It has reached that tipping point. It is a civil war and no one can predict the outcome morningfog Jul 2012 #4

The outcome is a widening conflict. That much is already happening. leveymg Jul 2012 #5

90 days or less. hifiguy Jul 2012 #6

Like any dictator, he'll last as long as his military and security services follow his orders. pampango Jul 2012 #7

This will become a fight to the death, a sectarian civil war in full blossom. Comrade Grumpy Jul 2012 #8

Depends on... Xolodno Jul 2012 #9

My guess: At some point he'll liquidate his assets, hide them out of country and flee for safe haven pinto Jul 2012 #10

Three weeks. HopeHoops Jul 2012 #11