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onenote

(46,079 posts)

11. No. The one result doesn't follow the other.

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Sun Nov 5, 2017, 09:22 AM

Nov 2017

First, Gillespie isn't Trump in the minds of a lot of republicans. Second, turnout in off year elections makes comparing them to presidential election years risky.

In 2008, Barack Obama won Virginia by 6.3 percent with 1.96 million votes.
One year later, Republican Bob McDonnell, won the Virginia governorship by 17 points (getting 1.16 million votes to his Democratic opponents 819,000 votes)

In 2012, Barack Obama won Virginia by just under 4% with 1.97 million votes
One year later, Democrat Terry McAuliffe won the governorship but only got 47.8% of the popular vote (1.02 million votes) and was helped immensely by a third party candidate that siphoned off Republican votes.

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If Hillary beat Chump in VA by 5.3% shouldn't Northam beat Ed "Trump Lite" Gillepsie by as much. [View all] DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2017 OP

Yes, but MichMary Nov 2017 #1

I am hoping/assuming/praying disillusion with Chump wakes casual voters from their slumber. DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2017 #3

I suppose it's up to Russia, don't you think . . . . ? no_hypocrisy Nov 2017 #2

Well, that bonehead move by the DFA declaring no backing for Northam is not helping. brush Nov 2017 #4

Yeah! DFA came off as a bunch of assholes for pulling this last minute stunt. They should FOAD! TheBlackAdder Nov 2017 #7

I hope the DFA move serves to get Northam more of the votes.... LAS14 Nov 2017 #12

Explain, pls. brush Nov 2017 #13

I'd say that if it were the DNC, but smaller, focussed.. LAS14 Nov 2017 #10

If we can't win an election like this.... vi5 Nov 2017 #5

I hope, but I'm afraid they'll get the polls close enough Laurian Nov 2017 #6

All it takes for evil to triumph is for good people to do nothing. LAS14 Nov 2017 #8

Republicans been running some nasty racist ads there Thrill Nov 2017 #9

No. The one result doesn't follow the other. onenote Nov 2017 #11

Northam has not run a very good campaign IMO Va Lefty Nov 2017 #14