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17. That about matches the polls in California

Sat Jul 21, 2012, 01:53 PM

Jul 2012

Let's hope that gap widens. My main concern is holding the Senate.

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Intrade: Obama 59.7, Romney 38.2. [View all] jenmito Jul 2012 OP

I think we're just seeing an accurate poll. russspeakeasy Jul 2012 #1

It's now 59.8 to 38.1! jenmito Jul 2012 #2

That's great!! Why doesn't it add up to 100? smitra Jul 2012 #3

Because it's not an either/or choice DavidDvorkin Jul 2012 #6

it means they put the odds of obama winning at by any amount at 61.9 percent arely staircase Jul 2012 #7

There may still be a slight chance that Rmoney drops out and another (R) Motown_Johnny Jul 2012 #8

Exactly. russspeakeasy Jul 2012 #20

I can't speak for all InTraders but... yumitaipan Jul 2012 #10

Welcome to DU. A very promising first post. Motown_Johnny Jul 2012 #12

In case it wasn't clear yumitaipan Jul 2012 #14

little more info on Intrade? cbdo2007 Jul 2012 #26

Look at Intrade's electoral map Motown_Johnny Jul 2012 #11

Yup... jenmito Jul 2012 #16

A word of warning yumitaipan Jul 2012 #18

And Florida's latest polling is very encouraging. speedoo Jul 2012 #22

Right, could be an early call for Obama election night. speedoo Jul 2012 #25

Finally people are absorbing the idea that Rmoney is a crook flamingdem Jul 2012 #13

Yup. And right now it's 60.0 to 38.0. n/t jenmito Jul 2012 #15

That about matches the polls in California flamingdem Jul 2012 #17

Anyone know what the predictive accuracy of Intrade is? speedoo Jul 2012 #23