Native American Lawmaker Paulette Jordan (Democrat) will run for Gov of Idaho

[jmowreader]

4. She has one and a half chances

There are three Republicans running for Idaho governor:

Brad Little is the current light governor.
Tommy Ahlquist is an MD who became a commercial real estate developer.
Raul Labrador is the congressman for the western side of the state.

Brad Little is widely considered the "governor in waiting" which, in Idaho, is probably why he WON'T make the general. If he does, he will be elected.

Ahlquist is running a Redoubter-friendly campaign. His major campaign plank is a pledge to cut $100 million in "wasteful" government spending out of Idaho's notoriously thin budget. We tried that during the recession and it immediately led to increased property tax bills - because they took a lot of money out of education, and municipalities had to run supplemental levies to get it back. If Ahlquist is on the general election ballot, Paulette Jordan's road to success revolves around attacking that spending-cut plan. I give her a 50-50 chance of getting it done.

There's a reason Labrador is running for governor: everyone in ID-1 has had enough of his shit. If he's on the general election ballot, he'll be easy to beat.