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eppur_se_muova

(41,350 posts)

131. Shelby Co now Moore's ONLY hope for more votes.

Reply to eppur_se_muova (Original post)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 10:21 PM

Dec 2017

It's basically over at this point, looks like.

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*** LIVE THREAD - JONES WINS *** ALABAMA SENATE SPECIAL ELECTION *** [View all] eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 OP

Now 60/40 Jones... brooklynite Dec 2017 #1

I would say it doesn't matter until it's 25-30%, actually. Drunken Irishman Dec 2017 #2

Early returns are probably from blue districts... Wounded Bear Dec 2017 #3

State returns are ctually usualy the reverse obamanut2012 Dec 2017 #5

My favorite site to watch online: 2theleft Dec 2017 #4

Yup, this is the best site. a kennedy Dec 2017 #6

Doug Jones leads by 12 percentage points over Roy Moore with 2 percent of precincts fully reporting. eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #7

Watch Talledega County! yallerdawg Dec 2017 #8

70% Talledega County reporting! yallerdawg Dec 2017 #33

Jones held Talledega County 100% reporting!!! yallerdawg Dec 2017 #83

Doug Jones leads by 8 percentage points over Roy Moore with 3 percent of precincts fully reporting. eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #9

kick grantcart Dec 2017 #10

Moore under performing in Limestone county -- good news grantcart Dec 2017 #11

Woohoo ! Madison Co going 2:1 for Jones ! OK, only 1 precinct -- still ! nt eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #12

Who has other election results links to add? L. Coyote Dec 2017 #13

Thanks FuzzyRabbit for posting this on the the thread I'll delete. L. Coyote Dec 2017 #17

NY Times: In Election Interference, Its What Reporters Didn't Find That Matters L. Coyote Dec 2017 #19

Jones leading 10:1 in Etowah Co -- home of Gadsden !! eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #14

Exit polls .. women voting for Jones by a 57% to 42% margin L. Coyote Dec 2017 #15

Red counties showing mostly more write-in votes -- some over 2% eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #16

Roy Moore leads by 8 percentage points over Doug Jones with 7 percent of precincts fully reporting. eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #18

NY Times forecast LIVE L. Coyote Dec 2017 #20

Voters already in line at poll closing can still cast ballots eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #21

Roy Moore pulling away mindfulNJ Dec 2017 #22

Virtually nothing yet from Birmingham, Montgomery, Mobile! yallerdawg Dec 2017 #23

Daily Kos Elections Alabama Senate special election liveblog thread #2 L. Coyote Dec 2017 #24

Roy Moore leads by 1.5 percentage points over Doug Jones with 15 percent of precincts fully reportin L. Coyote Dec 2017 #25

Embarrassing State Thrill Dec 2017 #26

Sorry, we tried Alea Dec 2017 #53

Per exits, white voters w. college degrees for Moore 59-37. Moore 78-20 among white voters, no deg. mahatmakanejeeves Dec 2017 #27

Lots of blue vote left to be counted in Birmingham Kaleva Dec 2017 #28

rememeber the small rural counties with few voters come in first Takket Dec 2017 #29

Roy Moore leads by 5 percentage points over Doug Jones with 21 percent of precincts fully reporting. eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #30

9:05pm EST - MSNBC: 13% in, too close to call, less than 5000 votes between. n/t Akoto Dec 2017 #31

Ive been to every State in the Union except Ccarmona Dec 2017 #32

Live Estimates of the Final Vote -- current estimated margin --Moore +0.6% L. Coyote Dec 2017 #34

17% In Ccarmona Dec 2017 #35

Roy Moore leads by 8 percentage points over Doug Jones with 25 percent of precincts fully reporting. L. Coyote Dec 2017 #36

I like the analysis at 538's blog where they are comparing results to benchmarks. femmedem Dec 2017 #37

they should call the race already Legends303 Dec 2017 #38

I've been saying for weeks ClarendonDem Dec 2017 #41

Well, a quick scan of your previous posts confirms that you're a troll. bearsfootball516 Dec 2017 #43

Moose Comrade, Moose Drahthaardogs Dec 2017 #51

No... renegade000 Dec 2017 #44

NY Times is calling it for Jones based on current results. L. Coyote Dec 2017 #45

Houston, Randolph Cos. 100% reporting eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #39

Moore UNDERPERFORMING in both Cos. -- Cornacki just confirmed. nt eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #56

This message was self-deleted by its author eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #60

Roy Moore leads by 4 percentage points over Doug Jones with 29 percent of precincts fully reporting. L. Coyote Dec 2017 #40

NY Times Estimated margin -- NOW Jones +2.9% L. Coyote Dec 2017 #42

Oh dear I guess I gotta get my hopes up BootinUp Dec 2017 #48

Jones +4.9 now Johnny2X2X Dec 2017 #54

TRMS just confirmed 30% black turnout nt eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #46

NYT has Jones at... yallerdawg Dec 2017 #47

There is a lot of blue on that map, including some unexpected places. eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #49

Jones ---- Chance of winning 77% L. Coyote Dec 2017 #50

Last election jamzrockz Dec 2017 #52

Have been calling a Jones win all week jamzrockz Dec 2017 #104

moore is really struggling right now Takket Dec 2017 #55

Estimated margin NOW at Jones +5.1% --- 77% chance of winning. L. Coyote Dec 2017 #57

MOORE IS RUNNING OUT OF VOTES! yallerdawg Dec 2017 #62

Nate Silver: Jones over performing in Urban areas and they haven't reported much in urban areas yet grantcart Dec 2017 #58

Link to NYT Forecast Page Ccarmona Dec 2017 #59

Roy Moore leads by 5 percentage points over Doug Jones with 39 percent of precincts fully reporting eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #61

Where, l dont see that Ccarmona Dec 2017 #64

Sorry, *PROJECTING* it for Jones. eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #66

Check the NY Times maps. We are still waiting on BLUE Montgomery County(?) L. Coyote Dec 2017 #63

Russell Co. 100% in -- goes for Jones ! nt eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #65

NOW 89% chance Jones wins. L. Coyote Dec 2017 #67

times just jumped to 90% odds of jones win.......... Takket Dec 2017 #68

A lot of BLUE COUNTIES have lots of votes left to be counted. DemocraticSocialist8 Dec 2017 #69

NYT!!! yallerdawg Dec 2017 #70

New York Time predicting this? flamingdem Dec 2017 #91

It goes up and down... yallerdawg Dec 2017 #98

Moore is running out of places to get votes KelleyKramer Dec 2017 #71

Turnout is down in heavily red areas per Nate Silver's blog femmedem Dec 2017 #72

Several small counties now 100% or almost so in, solidly blue -- but low populations. eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #73

Estimated margin NOW -- Jones +8.3% L. Coyote Dec 2017 #74

Madison Co. 3:2 for Jones -- home to 3rd largest city in AL eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #75

Talladega Co 100% in -- marginally for Jones nt eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #78

Counties with AL's five largest cities all going for Jones. eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #84

This message was self-deleted by its author eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #151

NY Times: 565,000 votes remain .... We think Mr. Jones leads in that vote by about 14.1 points. L. Coyote Dec 2017 #76

...and how big were the odds they gave Hillary to win when polls closed a year ago? regnaD kciN Dec 2017 #81

uh.... okay this is odd..................... Takket Dec 2017 #77

We are still waiting on some BLUE areas to report. L. Coyote Dec 2017 #86

most of the rest of the vote is from blue counties grantcart Dec 2017 #79

This message was self-deleted by its author eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #96

Nate Silver "I wouldnt take the probabilities too literally, at least until later in the night." L. Coyote Dec 2017 #80

With the NYT saying Jones has a 65% Chance, Time for Putin Ccarmona Dec 2017 #82

Nyt pangaia Dec 2017 #85

Estimated margin --- Jones +3.3 --- 69% reporting L. Coyote Dec 2017 #87

This is what to watch, scroll down to Estimated Votes Remaining L. Coyote Dec 2017 #88

****THIS**** n/t cynatnite Dec 2017 #90

I trust the New York Times. GreenEyedLefty Dec 2017 #107

I trust the ability of statisticians to write a prediction algorithm. L. Coyote Dec 2017 #113

What you said. GreenEyedLefty Dec 2017 #119

Appears To Be Narrowing nt SoCalMusicLover Dec 2017 #89

Only 2.5% Moore lead now mvd Dec 2017 #92

MOORE LEAD DOWN TO 2.5%!!! DemocraticSocialist8 Dec 2017 #93

Dallas county? still no reporting? Thor_MN Dec 2017 #94

That's a DEM county n/t renegade000 Dec 2017 #97

Roy Moore leads by 2.8 percentage points over Doug Jones with 76 percent of precincts fully reportin eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #95

Folks, most of the small counties' votes are in. Lots showing 100% reporting. eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #99

lead finally shrinking and jones still has about 50000 votes in montgomery........... Takket Dec 2017 #100

i meant birmingham Takket Dec 2017 #102

Roy Moore +3.0 percentage points over Doug Jones with 77 percent of precincts fully reporting L. Coyote Dec 2017 #101

10:00pm EST - MSNBC: 72% In - too close to call - 51% to 48% favoring Moore. n/t Akoto Dec 2017 #103

Packed house at the Doug Jones party in Birmingham. L. Coyote Dec 2017 #105

I SHIT YOU NOT! yallerdawg Dec 2017 #106

Its going to be extremely close if Jones wins Legends303 Dec 2017 #115

NY Times: 292,000 votes remain --- Jones leads in that vote by about 6.7 points. L. Coyote Dec 2017 #108

My god, this is a nail biter GreenEyedLefty Dec 2017 #109

Roy Moore leads by 0.7 percentage points over Doug Jones with 81 percent of precincts fully reportin eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #110

Some precincts near B'ham reporting 40-50% turnout ! nt eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #117

Jones is moving up! Hoyt Dec 2017 #111

Yes he is! GreenEyedLefty Dec 2017 #116

6500 Vote Difference Ccarmona Dec 2017 #112

Race is tight. Johnny2X2X Dec 2017 #114

Chance of winning 78% Jones L. Coyote Dec 2017 #118

Roy Moore leads by 0.0 percentage points over Doug Jones with 85 percent of precincts fully reportin eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #120

I'm starting to be hopeful! OMG! 😲 ecstatic Dec 2017 #121

Me too... cautiously! GreenEyedLefty Dec 2017 #122

JONES NOW AHEAD BY 0.2% eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #123

This message was self-deleted by its author eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #130

Looking....Dare I Say Ccarmona Dec 2017 #124

fivethirtyeight.com now has Jones in the lead - barely Jersey Devil Dec 2017 #125

woohoo! Rachel walked on to Lawrence's set to continue lol bonus Rachel is always good Takket Dec 2017 #126

***Clutching rosary*** Jones... please let him pull this out. Tatiana Dec 2017 #127

10:20pm EST - MSNBC: Jones takes lead with 18k votes, votes still outstanding. n/t Akoto Dec 2017 #128

Jones up!!! Johnny2X2X Dec 2017 #129

Shelby Co now Moore's ONLY hope for more votes. eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #131

NYT 95% Jones chance of winning! yallerdawg Dec 2017 #132

Doug Jones leads by 0.9 percentage points over Roy Moore with 89 percent of precincts fully reportin eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #133

This message was self-deleted by its author eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #138

Roll Blue Tide... Sancho Dec 2017 #134

OMG OMG OMG DemKittyNC Dec 2017 #135

I know me too! Wish I could see dump's face when the election is called ecstatic Dec 2017 #142

I am not normally violent DemKittyNC Dec 2017 #147

NYT SAYS 95% chance of Jones Victory Ccarmona Dec 2017 #136

moore down by 11k now. only Diebold can save him now. Takket Dec 2017 #137

NYT has all but called it at this point. eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #139

Good Lord, I think Alabama is on the brink of electing a Democratic Senator. Tatiana Dec 2017 #140

I knew Alabama could do it. nolabear Dec 2017 #141

AP calls it for Jones defacto7 Dec 2017 #143

Yes, it has: Denzil_DC Dec 2017 #145

Fox calls it for Jones bagimin Dec 2017 #144

hillary won 13 counties in 2016. jones currently leads in 25 Takket Dec 2017 #146

Trump won the state by 28 points!! KelleyKramer Dec 2017 #150

times has called it too. jones wiiiiiiiiiinnnnnnnnnnnssssssssssss!!!!!!!! Takket Dec 2017 #148

In terms that Alabamians can understand Ccarmona Dec 2017 #149

I just switched to Faux DesertRat Dec 2017 #152

WOW... GreenEyedLefty Dec 2017 #153

Jones' margin of victory is so far less than half of the write-in vote ... eppur_se_muova Dec 2017 #154

The Mainstream Republican Knives Are Coming Out for Bannon Ccarmona Dec 2017 #155

64,000 votes remain --- Jones leads in that vote by about 16.4 points. L. Coyote Dec 2017 #156