We are going to get “Trashed in 2012 Elections”

[Proud Liberal Dem]

27. 2012 has different dynamics than 2010

Obama wasn't on the ballot in 2010 and turnout among progressives/Democratic-leaning voters was extremely low, allowing the hyper-energized Tea Party freaks to run away with that election. People will have had almost two years to live with teabaggers controlling the local, state, and federal level and, judging by the polls, most people don't seem to care for them or their *policies* much. It's possible that a lot of freshmen teabaggers might be swept right back out. Despite his overall plodding approval polls, Obama still enjoys higher approval/favorability ratings than Congress (with one House completely controlled by the Republicans and another almost completely co-opted by them), the Republican Tea Party, and any of the presumptive GOP nominees. Assuming that our people get out to vote, I feel pretty confident Obama can win re-election. Depending on crazy the Republican Tea Party gets THIS year, we also stand a pretty good chance of holding the Senate and maybe even winning back the House. Let's just say, going by the scientific principle of Occam's Razor, it is far more likely that President Obama will be re-elected than not IMHO, mostly because the GOP has no formidable let alone mildly tolerable candidates. Obama will likely win with a lower margin/fewer states but I think he will still win.