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In reply to the discussion: Autism 'caused by genetics', study suggests [View all]Bearware
(151 posts)I removed all of the links because they were detracting from the main reason for my posts. I put them in to save time for people who wanted more information.
Now that I have done that it would be nice if you could respond to what I posted in more than one line generalities.
Please show where the consensus of evidence explains why autism rates increase in the late winter/early spring and also increase as latitude increases. Also where does it account for populations that have moved from near the equator to near the arctic circle begin having children with autism for the first time in their cultural memory?
The consensus of evidence has indicated increasing rates of autism are just due to better diagnosis. Ummm, can you show me where that is evidence rather than just opinion? If an appreciable number of cases of autism are autoimmune, it would match what has been happening with incidence rate of the majority other autoimmune diseases. Below is an example for another autoimmune disease.
This video on the epidemiology of type 1 diabetes (an autoimmune disease) which like autism also has a rapidly increasing incidence rate. Here's the presentation by Frank Garland Phd. at UCSD :
http://www.ucsd.tv/search-details.aspx?showID=15771
The part at 38 minutes adds some important information to the incidence rate graph for type 1 diabetes in Finland. I would be very interested in any problems you have with the video.
For about a decade I dealt with a family member with Ataxia (a rare neurological disease). The consensus of evidence at the time was that the vast majority of cases were caused by genetic mutations so after a first round of tests, genetic testing began but all were negative. Researchers have found a number of genes that do cause the disease but after the first few more common mutations they were finding mutations that only applied to a few families. Meanwhile anyone who had not had a positive genetic test was given a label of Sporadic Ataxia. The number of sporadics was over half of all cases and the medical consensus was they would eventually find the mutation. Good luck with that, after a decade there has been little change in the percent of total cases that are directly genetic. However there was one Ataxia specialist (all are neurologists) in the UK who was checking for and finding many cases with an autoimmune disease that causes Ataxia. He was not considered part of the medical consensus in the US and to this day many neurologists to not check for that disease which of course leads to statistics that say it is extremely rare. My family member had that autoimmune disease. Many if not most people with Sporadic Ataxia are never tested and never find out what caused their disease. I like to call this "Evidently Based Medicine" - when you look under the hood you find decisions were made by highly respected, powerful doctors based on opinion with little or no scientific evidence and strong resistance to considering contrary evidence.