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In reply to the discussion: Bernie Sanders Gains on Hillary Clinton in Bloomberg Early-State Polling [View all]DCBob
(24,689 posts)While Sanders is indeed enjoying something of a mini-surge in the two states, the polls show he's almost certain to hit a ceiling eventually, said Purple Strategies' Doug Usher.
Clinton remains enormously well-known and well-liked in New Hampshire, a state she won before, Usher said. She benefits from a gender gap in a primary that will be disproportionately female, and even Sanders voters admit Clinton is likely the nominee. As long as Democrats like both candidates simultaneously, Sanders will have an uphill climb.
The New Hampshire survey shows the race not as close there as a poll released last week by Suffolk University, which had Clinton at 41 percent and Sanders at 31 percent. Unlike the Bloomberg Politics/Saint Anselm poll, the Suffolk survey didnt start with a database of registered voters, instead relying more on the self-reported likelihood of voting in the primary. It also included Vice President Joe Biden, while this one didnt.