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In reply to the discussion: Sanders predicts Iowa upset, slams The Washington Post [View all]JDPriestly
(57,936 posts)that is saying a lot.
Bernie's strength, his major support is in the college towns and the larger towns and cities.
Hillary's support is inevitably going to be in the more rural areas and smaller towns. I read that here on DU yesterday I think. I believe that to be true based on what I know of Iowa, and I do know it pretty well or at least I knew it very well at one time.
It is easy to get to the caucus if you live in a town or city. It's going to be in the school or courthouse a few blocks away. It will be cold and maybe snowy or icy, but Iowans are used to snow and ice that blow right through your coat and sting your nose and ears. Children used to wear scarves tied around their noses and mouths when they walked home from school in the blowing snow back when . . . .
It will be tough "sledding" as they say to get to the caucus if you live on a farm some miles from the town. And that is where a lot but not all of the conservative voters will find themselves at caucus time -- on a farm some miles from the town.
I am overgeneralizing and should be ashamed of myself for doing that. But how hard will it be for young people to walk across the campus and maybe a few blocks to go caucus? Not that tough. They have strong legs for the most part and strong hearts and really want Bernie to win.
It will be a bit tougher for some of the older people.
If it snows, God is definitely on Bernie's side.
My tongue is in my cheek a little as I write that, but then . . . . I do definitely think that God is on Bernie's side. So we shall see . . . .
Trust me. I know a lot about Iowa winters. A lot.