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SoCalMusicLover

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103. What If It Had Gone The Other Way?

Tue Feb 2, 2016, 06:59 PM

Feb 2016

What if Bernie had won 6 out of 6 coin tosses?

LOL!!!!! Do you really think that was going to happen?

Somehow these things always fall in favor of the suspicious person, the one who HAS to have the victory and is usually the one supported by the powers that be.

It worked for the chad counting repubs in Florida, no surprise who was declared the victor there, even though it later was determined to be incorrect.

My point is, if anybody was going to beat 1 in 64 odds, it sure as hell wasn't going to be Bernie. How did Hillary manage it? Well, I doubt we'll ever know, some things are meant to remain secret forever. If you ask her, she'll just say it was luck, and move on.

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Hillary Clinton Won 6 Out of 6 Coin Tosses Last Night. [View all] James48 Feb 2016 OP

Msnbc just reported 8 flips, 5 HRC, 3SBS dogman Feb 2016 #1

One is extremely improbable (completely scoff worthy), the other could easily be expected. GoneFishin Feb 2016 #6

I can't find that. Will you provide a link? nm rhett o rick Feb 2016 #12

Saw it on MSNBC scrawl. dogman Feb 2016 #32

I think it's based on this. dogman Feb 2016 #35

The 5 vs 3 refers to delegates and not coin flips. rhett o rick Feb 2016 #51

The scrawl writer seems to be like most headline writers. dogman Feb 2016 #55

Is that the latest spin? TBF Feb 2016 #74

The media has owners to serve. dogman Feb 2016 #84

With the media I agree TBF Feb 2016 #105

reducing democracy to tossing coins - how modern wordpix Feb 2016 #119

Ssssh! She's on a streak! She may run the table! Human101948 Feb 2016 #2

She's crazy if she doesn't invest in Plucketeer Feb 2016 #11

6 out of 6?? ruffburr Feb 2016 #3

Someone needs to weigh those coins. Baitball Blogger Feb 2016 #4

Yep. polichick Feb 2016 #76

Now have 6 different people, in 6 different areas of a state, flip a coin. Demit Feb 2016 #15

You don't understand probability either. [n/t] Maedhros Feb 2016 #20

The odds are not astronomical against it. Drahthaardogs Feb 2016 #34

Astronomical? No. But very, very unlikely. Maedhros Feb 2016 #39

They weren't all a part of one sequence, though. They were different events, in different places. Demit Feb 2016 #46

It doesn't matter where or when the coin flips occurred. Maedhros Feb 2016 #49

Actually it does. You are looking for a conspiracy when there isn't one dbackjon Feb 2016 #60

No, it doesn't. eomer Feb 2016 #109

Correct if the six are selected randomly or before knowing their result. eomer Feb 2016 #95

Agreed. Maedhros Feb 2016 #100

You were correct earlier. No understanding of probability. GoneFishin Feb 2016 #106

additional variables to consider Fiendish Thingy Feb 2016 #75

Obviously those Sanders reps that lost were plants dbackjon Feb 2016 #85

Not really relevant. Maedhros Feb 2016 #92

Your are dealing with some very probability theory challenged individuals. No wonder this almost GoneFishin Feb 2016 #108

One-in-64 [(1/2)^6] isn't remotely astronomical. Lizzie Poppet Feb 2016 #115

I'm not incensed about it either.[n/t] Maedhros Feb 2016 #130

Obviously far better than the tin-foil crowd here dbackjon Feb 2016 #59

Gambler's Fallacy nt Nitram Feb 2016 #19

Impossible and forever tainted NowSam Feb 2016 #65

Yep, Iowa was a toss-up! Onward! californiabernin Feb 2016 #5

It was not a toss up. Hillary won more votes, and more delegates. SunSeeker Feb 2016 #37

Two tenths of a percentage point is a win? It's all about lowering expectations, right? Ned_Devine Feb 2016 #52

Quick, think of something... FailureToCommunicate Feb 2016 #7

See? God is interfering on behalf of the Clinton campaign. Enthusiast Feb 2016 #8

Frustrating to hear that such archaic shit determines winners Plucketeer Feb 2016 #9

How do propose to decide who wins when there is a tie???? happyslug Feb 2016 #118

you give half the delegates to Bernie and half to Hillary wordpix Feb 2016 #120

This involved ONE delegate NOT two. happyslug Feb 2016 #123

Well said Jenny_92808 Feb 2016 #129

I forgot to mention how Allegheny County PA decides such ties, it is by "Lots" happyslug Feb 2016 #139

It's one in 64. Not that improbable. malthaussen Feb 2016 #10

Funny because... Helen Borg Feb 2016 #26

Actually it is closer to Jenny_92808 Feb 2016 #131

That could also be a bad RNG. JoeyT Feb 2016 #44

True, I don't know what algorithm they use. malthaussen Feb 2016 #58

It's a Tom Stoppard play! AlbertCat Feb 2016 #13

Not correct. There were 8 coin tosses, 5 won by Clinton, 3 won by Sanders. StevieM Feb 2016 #14

NO State delegates have been awarded... brooklynite Feb 2016 #28

Statistics in the wrong hands is dangerous. Gman Feb 2016 #16

Absolutely incorrect dreamnightwind Feb 2016 #17

You didn't read my post. Gman Feb 2016 #31

Actually indigoth Feb 2016 #36

Wrong on every count, wow dreamnightwind Feb 2016 #38

No, he is absolutely correct dbackjon Feb 2016 #62

How so? dreamnightwind Feb 2016 #68

There are six independent events dbackjon Feb 2016 #71

of course the events are independent, that's what i said dreamnightwind Feb 2016 #77

I don't think that person understands it either dbackjon Feb 2016 #78

I misunderstood your most recent post dreamnightwind Feb 2016 #80

I agree with you Jenny_92808 Feb 2016 #132

They are not independent events. Bernin Feb 2016 #98

Not sure you understand what an independent event is. dbackjon Feb 2016 #99

Yes I certainly understand what an indepedent event is. Bernin Feb 2016 #113

If you went to a bookie to make a bet Jenny_92808 Feb 2016 #133

It's still 1/64. JoeyT Feb 2016 #47

I have a good friend that was struck by lightning twice (two separate occasions) ALBliberal Feb 2016 #104

Odds of being hit by lighting is 1 out of 1200 happyslug Feb 2016 #122

It sure is. You need to handle with care. Deny and Shred Feb 2016 #73

I never said the calculation is wrong Gman Feb 2016 #93

Everywhere the Clintons go, there is greed, cheating and other controversy going on. Who wants ViseGrip Feb 2016 #18

Spare me the drama bullshit leftynyc Feb 2016 #21

Yeah, it's a regular laff riot. chapdrum Feb 2016 #25

Awwww - you don't like the rules? leftynyc Feb 2016 #40

Before I play any "game", I read the rules. If I don't like them I simply don't play....... George II Feb 2016 #54

outrage and drama seems much too common these days. riversedge Feb 2016 #27

If each coin toss was fair then the odds are 1 in 64. Most people would call that improbable. eomer Feb 2016 #30

No - you're wrong leftynyc Feb 2016 #41

The six events are independent. Makes no difference who flips the coin or where. eomer Feb 2016 #87

Taht's exactly what I said leftynyc Feb 2016 #88

No, you said it makes a difference whether one person or six people do the tosses. eomer Feb 2016 #97

You just took longer leftynyc Feb 2016 #141

So you agree then that the odds of Hillary winning all six tosses (if that was the case) eomer Feb 2016 #142

It doesn't matter in the least who tossed them or where. Lizzie Poppet Feb 2016 #116

It was still 1/64, for it to happen like it did. JoeyT Feb 2016 #56

You speak truth eom NowSam Feb 2016 #81

No it is not the truth - it is BS RIGHT WING LIES dbackjon Feb 2016 #86

I think the observation is verifiable. eom NowSam Feb 2016 #89

Please do so dbackjon Feb 2016 #91

We find these truths to be self evident NowSam Feb 2016 #94

Dr John would have been impressed. Fat Tony, less so. Joe Chi Minh Feb 2016 #22

6 of 7 Reported Here Billsmile Feb 2016 #23

Hillary Clinton Turned $1,000 Into $99,540, White House Says coyote Feb 2016 #24

More right wing bullshit talking points leftynyc Feb 2016 #42

Yes it has - I see the BS Right wing memos more on here than on GOP sites dbackjon Feb 2016 #67

The absolute worst leftynyc Feb 2016 #79

Yup - very embarrasing dbackjon Feb 2016 #83

I wonder if they think they can win without any Democratic Pathwalker Feb 2016 #126

Good - The Iowa Winner Rarely Goes On To Win The Nomination cantbeserious Feb 2016 #29

That's on the republican side leftynyc Feb 2016 #43

Exactly. LisaL Feb 2016 #50

Now that the Sanders campaign knows how Hillary (Bill) is going to play the game INdemo Feb 2016 #33

^ This. AzDar Feb 2016 #61

Right? It will be interesting TBF Feb 2016 #72

That's the way it has been for years, nothing unique this year. George II Feb 2016 #45

strong the force with this one is..... getagrip_already Feb 2016 #48

a little dismaying 6chars Feb 2016 #53

No! It's 1 in 64 (1 in 2^6). VMA131Marine Feb 2016 #82

You are correct, it is 1 in 64 Jenny_92808 Feb 2016 #134

+1 dreamnightwind Feb 2016 #135

you just have to enumerate possibilities 6chars Feb 2016 #140

You are simply wrong Hav Feb 2016 #143

God endorses Hillary lobodons Feb 2016 #57

I just don't buy it. Should have been videotaped. NowSam Feb 2016 #63

Totally normal. Hillary is 1%er, wealthy always win. Through my 68 years of life, that is how it has LiberalArkie Feb 2016 #64

The person who wrote this article has no idea how the delegate totals are calculated oberliner Feb 2016 #66

Fuck running for President. She should just play the lottery!!! eom Purveyor Feb 2016 #69

She was up by double digits, deathrind Feb 2016 #70

Thats not how it works. Eko Feb 2016 #90

Here's one that Bernie won. I assume it's a valid vid... WhoWoodaKnew Feb 2016 #96

Truly amazing and not a good amazing. ALBliberal Feb 2016 #107

THIS conspiracy theory is how I know Hillary won Iowa (well, besides the vote and delegate count). Metric System Feb 2016 #101

Call it, friendo Orrex Feb 2016 #102

What If It Had Gone The Other Way? SoCalMusicLover Feb 2016 #103

Fuzzy murky improbable events always favor the more right-leaning individuals. GoneFishin Feb 2016 #111

Always. Octafish Feb 2016 #112

Sanders WON 6 of 7 coin flips - Iowa Democratic Party dbackjon Feb 2016 #110

There were more than a dozen coin flips, and HRC did NOT win all of them gregcrawford Feb 2016 #114

Can't be true. Clinton is evil, and is obviously rigging the flips dbackjon Feb 2016 #117

Just listen to the All Things Considered report... gregcrawford Feb 2016 #125

Sigh, go take a combinatorics class Taitertots Feb 2016 #121

Who in the fuck is Amanda Girard? Blue_Tires Feb 2016 #124

Coin-Toss Fact Check: No, Coin Flips Did Not Win Iowa For Hillary Clinton Agnosticsherbet Feb 2016 #127

Message auto-removed Name removed Feb 2016 #137

It won't be. Agnosticsherbet Feb 2016 #138

Each coin flip stands on its own. deathrind Feb 2016 #128

The odds of a flipped coin standing are astonishingly rare Orrex Feb 2016 #144

:) deathrind Feb 2016 #145

Luck be a lady tonight Blue Owl Feb 2016 #136