Latest Breaking News

TekGryphon

(430 posts)

27. Not historically.

Wed Feb 10, 2016, 01:19 AM

Feb 2016

New Hampshire is not a good predictor of the national Democratic primary. Never has been, probably never will be. The demographics just don't match up. South Carolina, on the other hand, is a state where the Democratic primary voters look and think a lot more like the "average" national Democrat. It's considered one of the strongest predictors.

For Republicans, however, New Hampshire is a very strong predictor. New Hampshire Republican primary voters line up pretty strongly with your "average" national Republican.

This was a very important victory for Trump, and a great (but not important) victory for Bernie.

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

28 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

AP: Trump, Sanders take New Hampshire primary [View all] onehandle Feb 2016 OP

K&R basselope Feb 2016 #1

Link: Hissyspit Feb 2016 #2

YESSSS!! Jack Rabbit Feb 2016 #3

At some point, it's best to call it, in hopes that everyone stops watching snot Feb 2016 #4

Early for me considering hundreds are still in line. But it is a historic turnout in NH. LiberalArkie Feb 2016 #5

nice work making sure to pair Bernie's win with Trumps. retrowire Feb 2016 #6

This message was self-deleted by its author Hissyspit Feb 2016 #13

K & R! TIME TO PANIC Feb 2016 #7

good job Bernie! its your backyard; a loss woulda been sad ericson00 Feb 2016 #8

The loss was HILARY"S mpcamb Feb 2016 #23

Yes for Bernie. 840high Feb 2016 #9

Good news. (About Bernie, not Trump, duh). n/t Little Tich Feb 2016 #10

This, is YOOGE. forest444 Feb 2016 #11

Huffpost calling Trump a Sexist, Racist Xenophobe houston16revival Feb 2016 #12

The question wasn't if Bernie would win, it was about the margin. Hoppy Feb 2016 #14

The only ones saying that were pundits for Hillary. Spitfire of ATJ Feb 2016 #17

Well, with more than 70% reporting, it's 60/39 Yo_Mama Feb 2016 #25

hilary %? wendylaroux Feb 2016 #15

Seems to be hovering around 56-41. n/t sweetloukillbot Feb 2016 #19

thank you :) wendylaroux Feb 2016 #20

Just got it in a text alert from the campaign. Spitfire of ATJ Feb 2016 #16

Tonight , all the news taking heads are talking about Bernie elmac Feb 2016 #18

+10000 trillion Feb 2016 #21

Can you say "landslide?" mikeargo Feb 2016 #22

Can you say "pre-game"? calguy Feb 2016 #24

Should read Sanders, Trump NowSam Feb 2016 #26

Not historically. TekGryphon Feb 2016 #27

I disagree. NowSam Feb 2016 #28