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bemildred

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128. One analysis:

Wed Mar 9, 2016, 11:07 AM

Mar 2016

WTF Happened to Hillary Clinton in Michigan, Explained

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How did the polls get it so wrong?

Michigan is an open primary, meaning that independents can vote – and on either party's ballot. That makes the final composition of the electorate impossible to predict, and can make pollsters look foolish when the returns come in.

As far as Democratic Party voters go, the polls had it about right: Clinton won among self-described Democrats by a margin of 16 points (57-41), according to the exit poll.

What was unforeseen was Sander's strength among independents, who made up 28 percent of the electorate. The socialist won this cohort in a landslide, 71-28.

Sanders’ “political revolution” had been roundly pooh-poohed after his poor performances in the Deep South. We saw a taste of it on Tuesday night – and not just among independents. Turnout among young voters was also stunning: More voters under 30 showed up at the polls than did voters over 65.

http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/wtf-happened-to-hillary-clinton-in-michigan-explained-20160309

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BREAKING: Bernie Sanders wins the Democratic presidential primary in Michigan. [View all] Bubzer Mar 2016 OP

K & R! TIME TO PANIC Mar 2016 #1

Great night! Bubzer Mar 2016 #3

Damn, that was intense! TIME TO PANIC Mar 2016 #15

Who's panicing? Chicago1980 Mar 2016 #20

The establishment is now. TIME TO PANIC Mar 2016 #30

I' not concerned about them. Chicago1980 Mar 2016 #37

It was! It had my heart going a mile a minute! Bubzer Mar 2016 #44

I was a nervous wreck all evening. TIME TO PANIC Mar 2016 #54

You and me both! Bubzer Mar 2016 #64

I was smoking too much I was so nervous Duckfan Mar 2016 #76

Berned it Blue Owl Mar 2016 #2

Now where did I put that... AH! Here it is! retrowire Mar 2016 #4

One of my very favorite gifs than you Kalidurga Mar 2016 #8

:D retrowire Mar 2016 #22

Have they though? Chicago1980 Mar 2016 #25

If reversing an 18 point lead within a week isn't indicative... retrowire Mar 2016 #29

In one state. Chicago1980 Mar 2016 #42

I'm reading and hearing that Michigan may be one state. retrowire Mar 2016 #50

Exactly. All of the Northern industrialized states had their legs cut from under them�trade deals.. Enthusiast Mar 2016 #137

I voted today in Illinois timmymoff Mar 2016 #59

Hopefully xloadiex Mar 2016 #73

OH is very Bernie friendly JesterCS Mar 2016 #110

This message was self-deleted by its author Bubzer Mar 2016 #115

Actually it is LBN, not the Bernie group. yellowcanine Mar 2016 #124

Oops. My mistake. Bubzer Mar 2016 #127

Thank you for that vital information. tabasco Mar 2016 #138

It's sorta 2 for the price of one. navarth Mar 2016 #152

Love it!! Duppers Mar 2016 #62

awesome graphic! shireen Mar 2016 #79

Excellent. Spread it around all you like. Duppers Mar 2016 #84

that's wonderful! renate Mar 2016 #98

+1000 C Moon Mar 2016 #71

I've never seen that before. Love it! Cavallo Mar 2016 #100

So Clinton is the candidate who, though ill-advised lies, can snatch defeat from the Betty Karlson Mar 2016 #134

Acha Nina! Pastiche423 Mar 2016 #5

WOW!! HUGE surprise! rury Mar 2016 #6

Feel the Bern...and, in Hillary's case, the backfire. forest444 Mar 2016 #7

But, but. . .ah, it's only Michigan. Who cares. HRC won Mississippi and look at how she did Feeling the Bern Mar 2016 #9

I didn't realize it was November. Chicago1980 Mar 2016 #47

I'm sorry. I never said that to HRC people before Sanders decided to run Feeling the Bern Mar 2016 #89

NBC just called it too!! LibDemAlways Mar 2016 #10

Congratulations. Beacool Mar 2016 #11

Thank You Much rpannier Mar 2016 #16

Thank you. Beacool Mar 2016 #18

I appreciate the decent back and forth. Chicago1980 Mar 2016 #27

thanks, beacool restorefreedom Mar 2016 #28

Thank you. Beacool Mar 2016 #40

gonna miss the boy wonder...not! :) nt restorefreedom Mar 2016 #49

... Bubzer Mar 2016 #66

yeah well who gives a fuck about Rubio. Scootaloo Mar 2016 #102

i certainly do not, but am enjoying his political demise nt restorefreedom Mar 2016 #112

Thanks! denvine Mar 2016 #60

Thank you. Beacool Mar 2016 #67

Thank you very much. 840high Mar 2016 #85

Go, Bernie GO!! Thank you, Michigan!!! And all you Beautiful Bernie People!!! AzDar Mar 2016 #12

You're welcome...... llmart Mar 2016 #139

SO SO SO happy! Merryland Mar 2016 #13

WAHOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!! rpannier Mar 2016 #14

CNN just called it ErikJ Mar 2016 #17

Coool rpannier Mar 2016 #46

I trudge down my snowy road on foot, safeinOhio Mar 2016 #19

. 840high Mar 2016 #81

Woo hoo! There's a "potty" goin' on 'round here RufusTFirefly Mar 2016 #21

They Are Smarter In The North billhicks76 Mar 2016 #23

So you're disregarding others votes because they didn't line up with yours? Chicago1980 Mar 2016 #33

Go Ahead Ignore Facts billhicks76 Mar 2016 #93

Shhh. . .DUers in the South will flag this as regionalism. . .even though you're 100% correct. Feeling the Bern Mar 2016 #36

Regionalism ? billhicks76 Mar 2016 #94

I've seen posts flagged and hidden because southerners get their knickers in a twist Feeling the Bern Mar 2016 #105

So Correct Me They Should billhicks76 Mar 2016 #107

People in the north love to region bash the south former9thward Mar 2016 #132

Considering I am from Arizona, that makes me being from the "north" a rather idiotic thing to say Feeling the Bern Mar 2016 #142

In your zeal to bash you don't even know the former9thward Mar 2016 #144

Way to talk down to a published historian, buddy. Feeling the Bern Mar 2016 #146

Published historian. LOL former9thward Mar 2016 #147

You just proved everything. I am considering the source. Dismissed, ignored and in the pit. Feeling the Bern Mar 2016 #149

Get out of the city in most safeinOhio Mar 2016 #41

There's a lot of 'south' in Ohio. nt Erich Bloodaxe BSN Mar 2016 #57

True billhicks76 Mar 2016 #95

Good thing is, those areas JesterCS Mar 2016 #111

Yes, and they don't call my state "Pennsyltucky" for nothing. malthaussen Mar 2016 #120

would that be Massachusetts-born Bush sr. or PaulaFarrell Mar 2016 #103

Makes me all the more glad I voted for him tonight. NobodyHere Mar 2016 #24

thank you for voting!!!!! magical thyme Mar 2016 #34

Great News Champion Jack Mar 2016 #26

Woo motherfucking hoo! Gregorian Mar 2016 #31

WOOHOO! magical thyme Mar 2016 #32

Tough choice for me after the debate in Flint on Sunday night. roamer65 Mar 2016 #35

very cool tomm2thumbs Mar 2016 #43

I'm glad Bernie won. I'm glad Democrats turned saltpoint Mar 2016 #38

�� B O O M �� tomm2thumbs Mar 2016 #39

And the beat goes on... MuseRider Mar 2016 #45

Congratulations to Bernie Supporters MelSC Mar 2016 #48

thanks shireen Mar 2016 #80

All the polls were wrong safeinOhio Mar 2016 #51

Michigan .. finally coming to its senses. ananda Mar 2016 #52

It ain't over...on to the Convention! SoapBox Mar 2016 #53

Yay!!! maryallen Mar 2016 #55

Congratulations Bernie and all my dear fellow Berniebro. JDPriestly Mar 2016 #56

Close one, but good news for us given the polls even yesterday NHprogressive Mar 2016 #58

Woof! Woof! jalan48 Mar 2016 #61

YES! Aldo Leopold Mar 2016 #63

TYT: MI, the BIGGEST UPSET in primary history! Kip Humphrey Mar 2016 #65

+1 Zorra Mar 2016 #141

I was just hovering my mouse over the map ........ he was within 3-5% polly7 Mar 2016 #68

Congratulations from a Hillary supporter iandhr Mar 2016 #69

Congratulations on winning Mississippi shireen Mar 2016 #82

Thank you. 840high Mar 2016 #83

thank you! renate Mar 2016 #99

Yes, thank you. At some point soon we will have to come together. YOHABLO Mar 2016 #140

TYT claims Bernie captured 30% of the African American vote Half-Century Man Mar 2016 #70

That's the number by Nate Silver metalbot Mar 2016 #117

i had been worried about this all day shireen Mar 2016 #72

now we need to throw all the money changers off the steps of the Capitol NJCher Mar 2016 #88

The bar is open!!!! Duckfan Mar 2016 #74

Bernie! 840high Mar 2016 #75

LOVE-IN' IT!!!! Bayard Mar 2016 #77

yeah, but WAIT! Hillary is polling at 357000% of every remaining contest. closeupready Mar 2016 #78

And he's had zentrum Mar 2016 #86

I'm off to bed now! mountain grammy Mar 2016 #87

Woo hoo! Unemployed (full time) for far too long...donated $20 +$3 tip to Code Blue after this news. C Moon Mar 2016 #90

God, just for right now I wish I hadn't been banned from the Hillary Clinton group. Gene Debs Mar 2016 #91

Woohoo!!!! romanic Mar 2016 #92

Are there winner speeches? I want to see them! Cavallo Mar 2016 #96

And, I want to donate to Bernie right now- again. Will someone post a link again? Cavallo Mar 2016 #97

So happy Bernie won !!!!!!! WooHoo !!!~ Every Bernie supporter needs to do their part. Make him win! urbuddha Mar 2016 #101

Congrats to Sanders Supporters! Lil Missy Mar 2016 #104

First, congratulations to the bernie supporters.............. Old Vet Mar 2016 #106

Yay! myrna minx Mar 2016 #108

Next week is another challenge FrodosPet Mar 2016 #116

What, no GiFs from Michigan State? malthaussen Mar 2016 #123

An unfortunate ommission FrodosPet Mar 2016 #126

yay bernie azurnoir Mar 2016 #109

Front page of the NYTimes - TBF Mar 2016 #113

Yaaaaaahoooooo!!!!!!! nt thucythucy Mar 2016 #114

Well, that was unexpected. malthaussen Mar 2016 #118

Were Black Voters in Michigan Afraid to Oppose Clinton in Polls? bemildred Mar 2016 #119

I prefer arguments about how many angels can dance on the head of a pin... malthaussen Mar 2016 #121

I always lie to pollsters, the last thing you want to do is help them get it right. bemildred Mar 2016 #122

Michigan is an open primary, right? malthaussen Mar 2016 #125

One analysis: bemildred Mar 2016 #128

Oh, that's very bad news for Mrs Clinton if it marks a trend. malthaussen Mar 2016 #130

I think of DU as sort of a stew these days, a hash. bemildred Mar 2016 #131

Not sure there is much evidence that kind of stuff happens on a large scale. yellowcanine Mar 2016 #129

I got called by pollsters 4 times last week. JustABozoOnThisBus Mar 2016 #150

I just stopped answering. But when I do, I lie. nt bemildred Mar 2016 #151

Speaking of which ... closeupready Mar 2016 #133

Congratulations. Time for you all to expand your vision though! Amimnoch Mar 2016 #135

Yay, Bernie! Yay, Bubzer! Enthusiast Mar 2016 #136

Now? Mrs. Clinton? Team-up with Senator Sanders now. Sunlei Mar 2016 #143

I'm Bernin' for YOU! warrprayer Mar 2016 #145

Amazing.... Amazing... Amazing... humbled_opinion Mar 2016 #148