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In reply to the discussion: Clinton: 'There is no way I won't be' nominee [View all]jmowreader
(50,714 posts)First problem: Bernie does well in homogeneously-white states, poorly in diverse ones. California is a very diverse state.
Second problem: Bernie doesn't have enough money to properly campaign in California. He's going to have to restrict his ad buys to smaller markets and skip advertising in the Los Angeles, San Diego and Bay Area markets...which broadcast to roughly half the state.
Third problem: Bernie Sanders needs to earn 850 delegates to take the nomination. Hillary only needs 90. Bernie has no chance in hell of flipping a Clinton SD to his side, so he's going to have to take what he needs from the pool of remaining delegates. There are only 939 delegates left to be collected. This is where Math enters the picture: To win the nomination, Bernie has to sweep - literally take ALL the delegates - in all the remaining contests. This he will never do. Bernie's big problem is, if Hillary takes a mere 10 delegates per contest in each of the remaining nine, she will be on the ballot in November.
Or, in terms you will not understand: Bernie Sanders could win all nine contests and still lose the nomination.
It's over.