The GOP is in a very tough fight to keep the Senate. These ad reservations prove it.

[Yupster]

14. My predictions

Kirk (IL) is a dead man walking. He has no chance at all.

Johnson (WIS) is almost at that point too. He probably has a 25 % chance at best of holding that seat.

That means just two more seats to take the Senate.

The possibilities? My made up percentages.

New Hampshire (Ayotte 45 % taking seat)

Pennsylvania (Toomey 35 %)

Ohio (Portman 40 %)

North Carolina (Burr 35 % chance)

Missouri (Blount 35 % chance)

Florida (Rubio 25 %)

Arizona (McCain 25 %)

Indiana (20 % chance but don't know who's running)

Not bad. Just need tow of those eight. If it's a wave election, may get 6 of them.

Only one Democratic seat really at risk (Nevada) and I'd say no more than 25 % chance of losing it.

Should be a good year. Maybe a great one.