The GOP is in a very tough fight to keep the Senate. These ad reservations prove it.

[Feeling the Bern]

17. My predictions

TOSS UP SEATS (11)
Their vulnerable: (10)
Kirk (IL) - out
Johnson (WI) - out
Ayotte (NH) - out
Toomey (PA) - out
Portman (OH) - out
Burr (NC) - stays
Blount (MO) - stays
Rubio (FL) - out
McCain AZ - maybe
Open Seat (IN) Todd Hill (R) v. Barron Young (D) - leans Republican at this point

Our vulnerable (1):
Open Seat (CO) Catherine Masto (D) v. Joe Heck (R) - leans Republican at this point

Democrats have 47 seats (46 soons because Melendez of NJ might be wearing international orange soon). Based on this prediction, Democrats take the Senate 51-47 with two independents caucusing with them (Angus King of ME, Bernie Sanders of VT). That makes it 53-47.

Safe Democratic seats (8):
CA, OR, WA, HI, NY, VT, MD, CT

Safe Republican seats (14)
ID, UT, ND, SD, OK, KS, IA, AR, LA, KY, GA, AL, SC, AK