PPP New Iowa Poll: Paul 20, Romney 19, Santorum 18, Gingrich 14, Perry 10, Bachmann 8, Huntsman 4

[jmowreader]

29. This is what it will come down to

First, I don't think Romney is going to win Iowa. He is going in front of a bunch of teabaggers who absolutely despise him for various reasons--they don't like his religion, they don't like his flip-flopping, whatever. He will probably win New Hampshire, though.

Which brings Iowa down to Ron Paul, Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich. Who wins depends on which batch of teabaggers bring the most people.

If the "we have to destroy the federal government in order to save it" teabaggers have the majority, Paul wins.

If the "get rid of 'Obamacare,' ban abortion and cut taxes, and we don't care about anything else" crowd is the majority, Santorum wins.

If the "erase the Obama presidency, right now" crowd turns out, Gingrich wins.

But if you get right down to it, there's not a lick of difference between ANY of them, except maybe Ron Paul, and if Paul were to get to the general election ballot he'd morph into a Standard Republican Candidate. At one time I described the GOP primary field as "one candidate with fourteen heads." That's not true anymore--we're down to seven heads, but it's still the same fucking guy. If Paul's stances really start to gain traction, they will all adopt them.