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Vogon_Glory

(10,429 posts)
3. I wish him luck
Thu Jan 26, 2017, 12:04 PM
Jan 2017

In what was normal before last week, I't say that Joaquin would probably lose.

But things are likely to be very different in 2018. I suspect that Texas Republicans are going to be demoralized in ways they haven't been in years--Cruz's ties with Trump, Medicare gone, Social Security butchered, the ACA obliterated, and there will be a lot of anguish and remorse on the right and anger in the center and the left. Leaving your base dead or financially ruined is not the way to romp to electoral victory.

And Trump's and Bannon's Latino-bashing won't help. Leaving DACA and the Dreamers aside, I believe that even some of the inattentive and detached Latino non-voters might FINALLY start interpreting right-wing speak that conflates Latino immigrants with folks whose families have been in Texas for generations. And in a state where about 40 percent of the population is Latino, what plays well in Whitebread states like Iowa, North Dakota, Wyoming, and Wisconsin while Dubya was in office won't play so well down in Texas when Americanized Texas Latinos get a dose of what it was like in great-grandma's day.

Of course this would require a major change in Latino non-voters' behavior--from turning away from politics when race-baiters start baiting to mobbing the polls their registration cards to throw the bums out, a behavior that has not been seen in recent decades here.

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