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Bernardo de La Paz

(60,320 posts)

1. Trump imposed the deadline because tRump has needs. Canada might play cool.

Thu Aug 30, 2018, 05:01 PM

Aug 2018

Trump's real reason for the deadline is not Mexico; it is the Midterm elections.

If the deadline slips, Trump-Tariffs would sabotage the one issue he has going for him: the economy. Or at least the one he has a slim chance of convincing voters that he is winning on.

He is further constrained that he can't make a two-way deal with Mexico without 60 votes in the Senate. He can present a three-way deal for fast-track approval with only 50 votes. He can't exit NAFTA without Congress, but whether that requires 60 votes in the Senate or not, I don't know.

Trump may have more to lose than Canada if he tries to be too hard nosed and unwilling to make concessions.

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