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NewJeffCT

(56,848 posts)

27. I remember back in 2012

Tue Oct 9, 2018, 02:28 PM

Oct 2018

was when I first noticed how the media had skewed a poll - it was after the Biden-Ryan VP debate. Most neutral observers would agree that Biden won it fairly handily, but the CNN post debate poll had it tied like 48-48 or something like that. However, if you dug into the numbers, they polled more Republicans than Democrats. Typical presidential races have more Democrats voting than Republicans by several percentage points - even when Reagan won by a landslide in 1984, more Dems voted than Republicans, just that a large swatch of "Reagan" Democrats voted for Reagan. So, while Reagan maybe got 95% of Republicans, Mondale got only 75-80% of Democrats.

If you used normal percentages, Biden wins by a good 10% or more

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CNN poll: Democrats are fired up and maintain a strong 2018 lead [View all] DonViejo Oct 2018 OP

so much for that GOP Kavanaugh anger surge NewJeffCT Oct 2018 #1

It would be much higher but the Koch brothers have been pumping big bucks elmac Oct 2018 #7

There was a fake WSJ poll watoos Oct 2018 #15

I remember back in 2012 NewJeffCT Oct 2018 #27

It's the bogus narrative they are hoping for Johnny2X2X Oct 2018 #21

"millions of Dem women voters" MyOwnPeace Oct 2018 #35

this dem man BigGermanGuy Oct 2018 #38

You got that right.......... MyOwnPeace Oct 2018 #44

thank you! n/t BigGermanGuy Oct 2018 #46

All Republicans have is gaslighting. nt SunSeeker Oct 2018 #23

gaslighting and purges Hermit-The-Prog Oct 2018 #32

This is all well and good, but only my opinion Oct 2018 #34

Dems had similar big leads in generic polls John Fante Oct 2018 #55

Yes, but.... rlegro Oct 2018 #57

Democratic leaders should take note of the increase in Republican enthusiasm, as well. Honeycombe8 Oct 2018 #2

You talking about the fake WSJ poll? watoos Oct 2018 #17

Okay DownriverDem Oct 2018 #20

Oh heavens, but what of the supposed rising red tide, please don't tell MSNBC's little Log Cabin Funtatlaguy Oct 2018 #3

As the red tide regresses, he'll flail less RhodeIslandOne Oct 2018 #10

Yep, it's the only thing that gets him fully vertical...that and shirtless Putin pix. Funtatlaguy Oct 2018 #11

It gets him more screen time. The expected blue wave doesnt. 7962 Oct 2018 #39

the koch brothers and other RW uber rich are pumping 100's of millions into elmac Oct 2018 #4

That "angry mob" has every right to be angry. Freethinker65 Oct 2018 #5

You bet, being called a "mob" is a badge of honor for me. watoos Oct 2018 #18

my grandmother's nursing home BigGermanGuy Oct 2018 #41

Now THAT... MyOwnPeace Oct 2018 #45

K & R. GOTV! n/t FSogol Oct 2018 #6

Don't get lazy! GOTV! getagrip_already Oct 2018 #8

You CAN NOT say that.......... MyOwnPeace Oct 2018 #49

This poll looks at Likely voters TNLib Oct 2018 #9

I used to live in Tenn. please tell me that Bredesen will beat that evil witch Blackburn. Funtatlaguy Oct 2018 #13

I think he's got a good shot TNLib Oct 2018 #19

Wait? Iliyah Oct 2018 #12

H-O-R-S-E R-A-C-E Stallion Oct 2018 #14

How can this be? Aren't Rs all uber excited now that DeminPennswoods Oct 2018 #16

Yes indeed. nt SunSeeker Oct 2018 #22

Oh-01 Paul Ryans pac is dumping $$$$ to defeat Aftab Norbert Oct 2018 #24

I think we will take the House back. The math for the Senate is a lot harder, unfortunately. StevieM Oct 2018 #25

I think it finishes at 50-50. bearsfootball516 Oct 2018 #28

I think you are probably right. But I always saw Tennessee as the swing state, not North Dakota. StevieM Oct 2018 #30

I think Bredesen is still in it qazplm135 Oct 2018 #51

Texas grantcart Oct 2018 #37

Texas will be much closer than usual, but it's one of those states where I need to see.. bearsfootball516 Oct 2018 #40

If Hispanics in TX turnout at the rate of AA we win by 5% grantcart Oct 2018 #43

never know about nd BigGermanGuy Oct 2018 #42

But I thought ellie Oct 2018 #26

You have a point, ellie........... MyOwnPeace Oct 2018 #48

Fall, Halloween, trick or treat and elections. How fun is that? 2018. Skruffy Oct 2018 #29

Welcome to DU, Skruffy! Rhiannon12866 Oct 2018 #58

A big K&R for this thread! llmart Oct 2018 #31

Vote! ZeroSomeBrains Oct 2018 #33

GOTV GOTV GOTV GOTV GOTV GOTV GOTV GOTV nycbos Oct 2018 #36

Let's wipe Traitor Don's Radical Cult, formerly the GOP, off the god damned political map!! LBM20 Oct 2018 #47

We Dems need to vote like we are behind and not fall these polls. Run the sprint until iluvtennis Oct 2018 #50

Guess it didn't all blow over, eh McConnell? mcar Oct 2018 #52

Take noth8ng for granted... RobertDevereaux Oct 2018 #53

The Kavanaugh bump! ananda Oct 2018 #54

K&R Scurrilous Oct 2018 #56