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Algernon Moncrieff

(5,961 posts)

16. Bottom line: here are the possibilities

Reply to BigmanPigman (Reply #15)

Wed Jan 16, 2019, 12:00 AM

Jan 2019

1) Nothing changes and no deals get made. Uncontrolled ("hard" ) Brexit.
2) May gets some kind of deal done. Controlled ("soft" ) Brexit.
3) No confidence passes or May just calls for elections and the measure passes. The whole process pauses while a new coalition is formed or general elections take place. Then the process is back to square 1.
4) May calls for Parliament to vote on a second referendum. If the measure passes, the people vote again. If "leave" wins again, Parliament will basically have no choice but to approve May's deal. But if they don't, then Hard Brexit. If "stay" wins, Brexit is off, but there will probably be enormous pressure to address at least some of the concerns of the Leaves.

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UPDATE: Brexit vote: British Parliament rejects Theresa May's Brexit deal [View all] BumRushDaShow Jan 2019 OP

And Corbyn has proposed the vote of no confidence in the government muriel_volestrangler Jan 2019 #1

That is a pretty steep margin! BumRushDaShow Jan 2019 #2

May COULD have used the fact that Eyeball_Kid Jan 2019 #3

That's my issue... Why the hell aren't they making this the point and justifying a "re-vote" hlthe2b Jan 2019 #4

Because the opposition leader Corbyn hates the EU and wants brexit mathematic Jan 2019 #6

May is as much an opportunist as our Idiot-in-Chief is onetexan Jan 2019 #24

Here! Here! poli-junkie Jan 2019 #5

432:202 is a historic, crushing scale of defeat. Denzil_DC Jan 2019 #7

Ridiculous The King of Prussia Jan 2019 #8

Nevertheless, the DUP say they'll support her in it, as did Anna Soubry and Rees-Mogg muriel_volestrangler Jan 2019 #9

Indeed The King of Prussia Jan 2019 #10

So BBC Newsbreak had a guest that explained this Algernon Moncrieff Jan 2019 #13

agree, May needs to resign. Even her own party has no faith in her. That should be her cue to go. onetexan Jan 2019 #25

Soooooo, what now? Yavin4 Jan 2019 #11

Brexit: What could happen next? Algernon Moncrieff Jan 2019 #14

This is so confusing, even with the helpful chart. BigmanPigman Jan 2019 #15

Bottom line: here are the possibilities Algernon Moncrieff Jan 2019 #16

Thank you for that chart which was helpful spelling out the options BumRushDaShow Jan 2019 #18

Thank you for the great summary. Kinda like Obamacare, keep it and fix the problems. onetexan Jan 2019 #26

brexit can't ever work because it was "built on a lie" Takket Jan 2019 #12

Brexit can't ever work because it was nothing more Blue_Tires Jan 2019 #20

There is a 3rd option and stay in the EU and try to iron out some of the problems they believe cstanleytech Jan 2019 #17

The problem of it is too much of Britain thinks it's entitled to Blue_Tires Jan 2019 #21

Putin and Rupert Murdoch fucked up the two biggest NATO members. pwb Jan 2019 #19

Theresa May survives no-confidence vote Baclava Jan 2019 #22

It seems like her own party is making her twist in the wind BumRushDaShow Jan 2019 #23