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sharedvalues

(6,916 posts)

48. You're conflating two concepts.

Mon Apr 1, 2019, 08:05 AM

Apr 2019

You’re conflating
1. Comey letter had an effect
2. Clinton was behind the other candidate

One is a statement about poll changes over time. One is a statement of the absolute poll numbers.

I have my issues with 538. But they are generally credible. What exactly about Silver’s claim are you taking issue with? The typical way they analyze polls is more complicated than just a spreadsheet. If you think they are wrong, let’s talk about why.

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Harry Reid slams Comey for Russia election meddling [View all] DonViejo Mar 2019 OP

Comey.... UpInArms Mar 2019 #1

Exactly. I'm done with Comey. sharedvalues Mar 2019 #6

+1. He's awash in false "integrity" that's a scam... or else he's just a moronic decision maker. JudyM Mar 2019 #13

Nah, he's awash. And yeah, Reid and Obama should have done more. You know if this had been KPN Mar 2019 #22

Right, it's not a level playing field at all... they play dirty and their base supports that. JudyM Mar 2019 #23

We will stop them --eventually. But who knows how many lives will have been ruined, thrown away KPN Mar 2019 #24

Yep. Deal with the Devil. JudyM Mar 2019 #26

Oh, they do. They are just warped. Satan has gotten to them. KPN Mar 2019 #27

. JudyM Mar 2019 #28

At some point we have to recognize that the FBI has Baitball Blogger Mar 2019 #2

Harry tried Kurt V. Mar 2019 #3

10/31/16: FBI has 'explosive information' about Trump, Russia - Reid Norman Conkedwest Mar 2019 #4

His releasing of a letter to the republicans in Congress 11 days before the election was a direct still_one Mar 2019 #5

Indeed! Lonestarblue Mar 2019 #7

Exactly. still_one Mar 2019 #11

Comey helped Trump Buzz Lightyear Mar 2019 #8

No, he didn't. Honeycombe8 Mar 2019 #14

Russia definitely meddled, especially with tons of fake Facebook ads Polybius Mar 2019 #20

Yes, he did. PandoraAwakened Mar 2019 #35

Anecdotal evidence isn't meaningful, when you're talking about millions. Honeycombe8 Mar 2019 #39

Troll or Disinfo Victim? Which one? PandoraAwakened Mar 2019 #41

No. Comey's Letter was worth about -4pts for Hillary. sharedvalues Mar 2019 #38

The data shows there was no impact. In fact, one poll went UP for her after the Comey Oct surprise. Honeycombe8 Mar 2019 #40

Faulty logic -- see above reply PandoraAwakened Mar 2019 #42

I prefer data, such that it exists, rather than anecdotes. Honeycombe8 Mar 2019 #43

No it is not "all we have to go by" PandoraAwakened Mar 2019 #44

Reset PandoraAwakened Mar 2019 #45

The Comey letter probably cost Clinton the election sharedvalues Mar 2019 #46

I've already done this a couple of times. Nate was trying to do a cya to excuse his prediction. Honeycombe8 Mar 2019 #47

You're conflating two concepts. sharedvalues Apr 2019 #48

Also for the record: Russia ran an influence campaign sharedvalues Apr 2019 #49

Yes he did, Buzz WhiteTara Mar 2019 #19

I don't understand why it wasn't escalated to the DOJ and then the the Attorney General ? MichMan Mar 2019 #9

We'd have to go back in time and analyze that. Honeycombe8 Mar 2019 #15

Both DOJ and Homeland Security were aware BumRushDaShow Mar 2019 #17

They bitch, yet their cheesy candidate won. Firestorm49 Mar 2019 #10

Reid Is Right DallasNE Mar 2019 #12

The FBI kicked it up to the White House. So he DID do something. Honeycombe8 Mar 2019 #16

I think Obama and the Dem leadership thought Hillary was a lock to be President running against jalan48 Mar 2019 #18

McConnell refused, and Obama stopped short. I don't know what more Potus could have done elleng Mar 2019 #21

Ask Holder and the DOJ to investigate ? MichMan Mar 2019 #30

I Think What You Are Saying Supplements What I Said Rather Than Refute It DallasNE Mar 2019 #25

At the time Comey was Director.... Honeycombe8 Mar 2019 #31

Reid has pancreatic cancer TexasBushwhacker Mar 2019 #36

This is one big beef I had with Pres. Obama ... LenaBaby61 Mar 2019 #32

Comey is as deplorable as the rest of them lunamagica Mar 2019 #29

Obama stepped back from making this a huge issue for fear of being accused of interfering in allgood33 Mar 2019 #33

knr Baltimike Mar 2019 #34

How about Democrats stop appointing Republicans to top administrative positions? LiberalLovinLug Mar 2019 #37