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lapfog_1

(29,199 posts)
7. thank you
Tue Jan 28, 2020, 06:10 AM
Jan 2020

nice... I have a home game on my Ipad called "Plague, Inc." and I entered as much data as I could (speculating a bit on some of the items like transmission vectors, symptoms, etc) and the result was both fascinating and frightening.

The game has had the help of the CDC in constructing the science of pandemics... obviously since you can quickly mutate the virus in the game you can make it spread very fast with complete lethal results.

When modeling this coronavirus, I didn't have it mutate at all.

Oh, you would be surprised at how well the world map in the game looks like the world map at this John Hopkins site.


Last postscript - if the next 24 hour report shows 7,000+ infections... that would be right in line with what my game predicts and would mean that we are at near 0% containment despite various places around the world shutting down transportation to/from mainland China, etc.


Given the rate of infection lapfog_1 Jan 2020 #1
The last time there was a recognized pandemic nitpicker Jan 2020 #3
yeah 11 years is a while... lapfog_1 Jan 2020 #8
Because many deaths are not from "the flu" jberryhill Jan 2020 #9
Really, we have no clue how many people die of flu each year. The only thing that seems evident Squinch Jan 2020 #12
How many people die of smoking? jberryhill Jan 2020 #13
No. When a little old lady falls and breaks her hip and gets pneumonia in the hospital and dies of Squinch Jan 2020 #21
The containment has already failed. Coventina Jan 2020 #6
Live thread from The Guardian nitpicker Jan 2020 #2
From The Guardian live thread nitpicker Jan 2020 #4
Link to the Johns Hopkins tracking website nitpicker Jan 2020 #5
thank you lapfog_1 Jan 2020 #7
0% containment doesn't take into account the incubation period icymist Jan 2020 #20
Steve Lookner, the guy from Agenda Free TV on YT, dewsgirl Jan 2020 #10
106 dead, 63 recovered. Yeah, it's all just hysteria. Squinch Jan 2020 #11
Significance of this would need to take into account the number of days needed for full recovery. 3Hotdogs Jan 2020 #14
So nothing to worry about. Not at all. People are just being hysterical. Squinch Jan 2020 #22
Case-fatality rate of 2.3% compared to 2.5% for the 1918-1919 influenza pandemic, pretty close. nt yaesu Jan 2020 #15
Beijing, a city of 22 million, now in quarantine lockdown, empty streets, pics show ghost town Baclava Jan 2020 #16
Do we need to worry about all the stuff being imported from China? Talitha Jan 2020 #17
Flu Viruses cannot live outside the body for long Baclava Jan 2020 #18
Whew... thanks!! Talitha Jan 2020 #19
They also don't do well when exposed to ultraviolet light lapfog_1 Jan 2020 #23
Most pathogens are killed by UV light Warpy Jan 2020 #24
Thanks - time will tell, I suppose. Talitha Jan 2020 #25
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