CDC is preparing for the 'likely' spread of coronavirus in the US, officials say

[Ms. Toad]

44. No. The death rate I quoted is overall,

calculated in a manner that assumes that death is instantaneous the day you contract it (meaning it understimates the death rate - since the average time from contracting the virus to dying is 14 days. Using deaths today and the # infected 14 days ago, the death rate is much higher).

The death rate of 3.1%(currently 24 x higher than the flu) will have component populations that are both lower than the average death rate - and higher than the average death rate.

If you calculate death rate from start to resolution of people admitted to the hospital, one small study put it at 4.3%, a second small study put it at 15%.

There's a fairly dramatic jump between 40-49 and 50-59 (from a death rate of .4% to 1.3%), it triples again to the next decile, and doubles each decile after that to 14.8% for 80 or older.

But even the 10-39 year olds die at a higher rate than the flu (.2, as opposed to .13 for the average seasonal flu).