Latest Breaking News

Ms. Toad

(38,575 posts)

48. That is the same issue you have with the flu -

Tue Feb 25, 2020, 12:19 AM

Feb 2020

Every seasonal flu includes lots of people who have mild flu cases that are not reported. So it's apples to apples. Full statistics are not reported for either the flu or COVID19, and there isn't any particular reason to believe a higher proportion of COVID19 cases are being omitted than those of influenza.

In other word all death rates are based on reported cases, so it is appropriate to compare the two.

I agree that it is way too early to determine the real death rate with any kind of precision. That said, the estimate of 1% is lower than any other estimate I have seen. Most people who are experienced in estimating death rates suggest it will settle out between 2 and 4%

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

48 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

CDC is preparing for the 'likely' spread of coronavirus in the US, officials say [View all] left-of-center2012 Feb 2020 OP

Yes, of course. There are people out there rationalizing dewsgirl Feb 2020 #1

Hey girl - just ran into this Leghorn21 Feb 2020 #2

Hey, hi. dewsgirl Feb 2020 #15

GULP Leghorn21 Feb 2020 #20

I came across this after I replied to your post, I've known they were hiding dewsgirl Feb 2020 #18

Thank you, I had seen yesterday (on DU) that 726 people were being supervised in WA, and that Leghorn21 Feb 2020 #21

Sorry, I don't have a better source, when it comes to this it's dewsgirl Feb 2020 #25

Makes you wonder DENVERPOPS Feb 2020 #39

Rumors that there are many in Florida and NY and a few dewsgirl Feb 2020 #42

Most of us don't know what to believe DENVERPOPS Feb 2020 #45

When they brought the passengers back from Japan, from the dewsgirl Feb 2020 #46

There are 35 confirmed - Ms. Toad Feb 2020 #23

In one of my non-DU forums ... left-of-center2012 Feb 2020 #3

Western medicine is respected there but priced out for a lot of people Warpy Feb 2020 #10

It's beginning to look very grave, we couldn't have dewsgirl Feb 2020 #17

Didn't Trump also cut millions of dollars from the CDC? gab13by13 Feb 2020 #28

I believe it is much higher than that. dewsgirl Feb 2020 #31

Perhaps. Igel Feb 2020 #38

This really should be on the front of the front page news, but - it's not. Leghorn21 Feb 2020 #4

Agreed Sherman A1 Feb 2020 #29

Think of this ... left-of-center2012 Feb 2020 #5

we have already had schools close locally this month due to sickness (non covid). nt yaesu Feb 2020 #6

There are 2 things concerning to me about todays news, first S Korea going into shutdown mode & yaesu Feb 2020 #7

I noticed the number of US cases has jumped to 35. n/t Coventina Feb 2020 #8

Someone posted recently "It's no worse than the flu" left-of-center2012 Feb 2020 #9

This virus makes people sick for a very long time. Coventina Feb 2020 #11

"When people die of the flu it's usually pretty quick due" left-of-center2012 Feb 2020 #12

My father in law (an anti-vaxxer) didn't get his flu shot. Coventina Feb 2020 #13

That is what I have been trying to tell ppl makes this DIFFERENT alittlelark Feb 2020 #16

The flu is actually worse crimycarny Feb 2020 #24

Death rate is currently about 15 time that of the flu Ms. Toad Feb 2020 #26

Death rate in certain individuals crimycarny Feb 2020 #40

No. The death rate I quoted is overall, Ms. Toad Feb 2020 #44

Death rates largely in China crimycarny Feb 2020 #47

That is the same issue you have with the flu - Ms. Toad Feb 2020 #48

We still have a functioning CDC? progressoid Feb 2020 #14

Pretty sure I read where Trump cut millions of dollars from the CDC. gab13by13 Feb 2020 #30

Trump will handle it, he's the greatest there ever was or BootinUp Feb 2020 #19

When is it expected to become widespread here? n/t splat Feb 2020 #22

No one knows. Ms. Toad Feb 2020 #27

If we did have a problem, gab13by13 Feb 2020 #33

KICK Mike 03 Feb 2020 #32

Coronavirus is killing what are to be considered "healthy" people, beachbumbob Feb 2020 #34

Good article on who is most vulnerable crimycarny Feb 2020 #41

Case in northern Calif. CountAllVotes Feb 2020 #35

We're missing a lot because we're not testing spinbaby Feb 2020 #36

There's a major outbreak in Italy, now. n/t Coventina Feb 2020 #37

And Trump is cutting the CDC budget*** MRDAWG Feb 2020 #43