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In reply to the discussion: 100 Million Will Die by 2030 If World Fails to Act on Climate: Report [View all]sir pball
(5,367 posts)I'm aware that Malthus completely missed the mark on technological advances; as I pointed out there are plenty of models that put the number as high as 40 billion.
I'm a pragmatist/realist/cynical SOB though. Developing middle classes in China and India don't want to be told that they have to go back to subsistence levels, a 4-person family in a 500-square foot microhouse eating 1800 vegan calories a day and bicycling everywhere. For better or worse they want to live like the West, consuming two to three times that base level. Technology is great but it does have its limits - we've definitely stretched Malthus' theories beyond anything he ever imagined possible, but at the end of the day we're in a closed system with an ultimately finite amount of resources and if we aren't past capacity yet for our desired lifestyles, we're getting awfully close. Negative population growth is, if not already, soon to become as critical a factor of environmentalism as any other.