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In reply to the discussion: All K-12 schools in Pennsylvania shut down for 2 weeks amid coronavirus outbreak [View all]DeminPennswoods
(15,286 posts)weren't in my calculation. The cases in NY are concentrated in NYC, Buffalo, Rochester - the biggest cities.
Buffalo is close to Erie which is why I left it out, but places like Elk, Clarion, Tioga, McKean, Potter, Lycoming, Forest, Venango, Clinton, Union, Snyder, Mifflin, Juniata, Huntington, Bedford, Somerset, Fulton, Mifflin, Blair, Cameron. They are in the mountains and lightly populated. Some of them don't even have that many roads.
The fact is, not that big a percent of people even end up in hospitals. I thought I heard Levine say something like 3% of all infected people end up on ventilators. I just don't see a big risk for any of those counties. Heck, even here in Beaver county, I don't see a huge risk. About 2/3rds of our cases are linked to just one nursing home. I look around and lots of retail are open, contractors, landscape/tree companies are working, ATT, Verizon, T-mobile, all the wireless stores, beer distributors. There are more places open than closed. I'd guess a bare majority are wearing masks in public. I think restaurants could open with spaced out seating, or now that the weather's getting nicer outside seating, tbh. Around here, all the stay home order is doing is damaging small, local businesses.
I have a friend in S NJ who tells me they are annoyed by all the folks from Philly going across the bridges to buy booze. Roger Wilco must be making a mint!