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In reply to the discussion: Antibody test results of 2 Snohomish County residents throw into question timeline of coronavirus [View all]jberryhill
(62,444 posts)The excess mortality is simply not there.
You asked a question about how you could detect excess deaths due to covid-19 without autopsies and I answered it.
I am not your personal research agency. There was no uptick in excess deaths beyond what would be expected with the seasonal flu in the United States either.
Your bolded sentence does not support this repeated contention that covid-19 was affecting significant numbers of people in the US back in December.
Yes, there certainly were, and are seasonal outbreaks of flu.
If you bothered to LOOK at the Europe graphs, which are representative of how mortality fluctuates through the year, you would understand that.
But, good golly, not every statistical report has a handy .jpg that can be posted on DU, and I believed the graphs showed, quite clearly, WHY we can know people weren't dying from covid-19 to any significant degree in December. How much time am I supposed to spend on research responding to your post?

There is no significant difference in the point, no matter where the graphs are from.
The point is pretty simple to understand - if there is a new cause of death, then it sticks out from the seasonal average. That's why, for example, you can see a heat wave in the graph for Spain.
This is a common technique for figuring out if something is up.