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mahatmakanejeeves

(71,464 posts)
Thu Jul 30, 2020, 08:33 AM Jul 2020

U.S. Economy Contracted at Record Rate Last Quarter; Jobless Claims Rise to 1.43 Million [View all]

Last edited Fri Jul 31, 2020, 08:22 AM - Edit history (3)

Source: The Wall Street Journal.

U.S. Economy Contracted at Record Rate Last Quarter; Jobless Claims Rise to 1.43 Million
The Commerce Department's initial estimate of U.S. gross domestic product in the second quarter is the steepest drop in more than 70 years

By Harriet Torry
https://twitter.com/HarrietTorry
Updated July 30, 2020 3:21 pm ET

The economy contracted at a record rate last quarter and July setbacks for the jobs market added to signs of a slowing recovery as the country faces a summer surge in coronavirus infections.

The Commerce Department said U.S. gross domestic product--the value of all goods and services produced across the economy--fell at a seasonally and inflation adjusted 32.9% annual rate in the second quarter, or a 9.5% drop compared with the prior quarter. The figures were the steepest declines in more than 70 years of record-keeping.

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Read more: https://www.wsj.com/articles/us-economy-gdp-report-second-quarter-coronavirus-11596061406



I need to correct my original post. The original post said that the US economy contracted by worst-ever 32.9% in Q2. No, it did not. It contracted at an annual rate of 32.9 percent. The actual drop was 9.5 percent. That's way different. Many people online have pointed this out. I should have caught that. I apologize for not having done so at the time.

Here's the original post:

Q2 GDP: US economy contracted by worst-ever 32.9% in Q2, crushed by coronavirus lockdowns

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/q2-gdp-us-economy-coronavirus-pandemic-consumer-171558880.html

Emily McCormick
Reporter
Yahoo Finance July 30, 2020

The US economy contracted at the sharpest rate on record in the second quarter this year, affirming fears that the coronavirus pandemic and measures to contain it drove a historic plunge in consumer and business activity.

Here were the main metrics from the Bureau of Economic Analysis' advance Q2 GDP report, compared to consensus estimates compiled by Bloomberg:

Q2 GDP annualized, quarter over quarter: -32.9% vs. -34.5% expected vs. -5.0% in Q1

Q2 Personal consumption: -34.6% vs. -34.5% expected vs. -6.8% in Q1

Core Personal consumption expenditures, quarter over quarter: -1.1% vs. -0.9% expected vs. 1.7% in Q1

{snip}

-- -- -- -- -- --

Three months from today, just a week before the election, it will be right back up by the same amount.

The GDP reports come from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, which is part of the Department of Commerce.

From the source:

July 30, 2020
Gross Domestic Product, 2nd Quarter 2020 (Advance Estimate) and Annual Update
Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased at an annual rate of 32.9 percent in the second quarter of 2020, according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter of 2020, real GDP decreased 5.0 percent.

https://www.bea.gov/news/2020/gross-domestic-product-2nd-quarter-2020-advance-estimate-and-annual-update

34 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
WaPo link BumRushDaShow Jul 2020 #1
Thanks, and good morning. mahatmakanejeeves Jul 2020 #2
Good morning and happy Friday Eve. BumRushDaShow Jul 2020 #5
Let us wait for Trump to spin this as FAKE NEWS. ProudMNDemocrat Jul 2020 #3
Trump's stupidity sunk Trump. gab13by13 Jul 2020 #7
Maybe the f**king republicans will now get off their fat asses, and extend the unemployment still_one Jul 2020 #4
Jerome Powell also said, gab13by13 Jul 2020 #6
Hey Larry Kudlow, where is your f**king V recovery? still_one Jul 2020 #8
Economy suffers titanic 32.9% plunge in 2nd quarter, GDP shows, and points to drawn-out recovery UpInArms Jul 2020 #9
Sheesh. MarketWatch is not mincing words. mahatmakanejeeves Jul 2020 #11
No mincing ... UpInArms Jul 2020 #12
This is why we need a UBI Yavin4 Jul 2020 #10
"crushed by coronavirus lockdowns" jayfish Jul 2020 #13
How so? FBaggins Jul 2020 #15
Thanks, saved me the effort. n/t progree Jul 2020 #17
Germany also just reported deepest decline on record...... KY_EnviroGuy Jul 2020 #14
So our results are about 3 times worse than Germany's? tclambert Jul 2020 #26
The numbers actually look to be roughly the same for US and Germany. KY_EnviroGuy Jul 2020 #28
Oh, I didn't spot one was quarterly and one was annualized. tclambert Jul 2020 #29
That's my fault. I foolishly didn't notice that Yahoo! Finance, which was my original source, mahatmakanejeeves Jul 2020 #31
This message was self-deleted by its author tclambert Jul 2020 #27
Surprising that Dow is down 488 points 957a ET. I thought it would be soaring because GDP progree Jul 2020 #16
you can't miss the wreckage left by the last 2 GOP presidents mahatmakanejeeves Jul 2020 #18
"Hardship builds character" -Trump progree Jul 2020 #20
Median forecast for MarketWatch's poll of 15 economists for Q3: +18.0% ann rate progree Jul 2020 #19
wait until the banks start the home mortgage nonpayment evictions process next month Sunlei Jul 2020 #21
Trump "has a great story to tell on how he turned our economy ... around." - @NikkiHaley mahatmakanejeeves Jul 2020 #22
is this part of all the winning we would be tired of by now? nt Javaman Jul 2020 #23
Here's another graph (from NYT) BumRushDaShow Jul 2020 #24
White House: U.S. Economy Remains Resilient Despite Historic Contraction in Second Quarter mahatmakanejeeves Jul 2020 #25
Next quarter will be worse, and the numbers should come out . . . ucrdem Jul 2020 #30
A bunch of western European countries are reporting.. Maxheader Jul 2020 #32
Here we go again with idiots from Reuters leaving out the "rate", this time Q2 productivity progree Aug 2020 #33
Here's Table A1 of the productivity report, since I brought it up progree Aug 2020 #34
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