First exit polls give victory to Henrique Capriles

[Warpy]

15. Chavez is not only a sick man, battling cancer

but a lot of people there find him overexposed to the point of nausea. They've just seen too much of him over the last few years. There are a lot of reasons to oust him. His mistake was not in stepping aside gracefully.

This might just be one of those cleansing things wherein they change parties for one term in order to change presidents but want no change in policy and will elect the head of Chavez's party next time.

I don't think there is a wholesale turn to the right there. If Capriles thinks there is and tries to govern accordingly, I will not be betting the rent on his longevity.

Still, it will be very interesting to watch if they do oust Chavez.

(no, I don't have a horse in this race. While I think a turn to the left has benefited them, I'm not sure Chavez himself has)