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regnaD kciN

(27,672 posts)
8. I think YOU need to "read it again"...
Fri Oct 12, 2012, 05:25 PM
Oct 2012

The poll ran 9/29-10/10 (why a two-week tracker for a single state, I can't say), and ended two days before the VP debate. The numbers were reported as follows:

9/29-10/3: O 49% R 40%
(10/3: debate held in evening)
10/4-10:10: R 49% O 43%

When you combine the two polling sub-periods, you get an average of O 46% R 45%, but that's only because of Obama's strong numbers in the first, pre-debate part of the polling period. The clear implication is that the state of the race, currently, would be a lot closer to the post-debate numbers (R+6) than the would the pre-debate numbers (O+9).

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