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In reply to the discussion: Dr. Fauci Just Issued This Big Warning About COVID [View all]muriel_volestrangler
(106,493 posts)41. This isn't just vague handwaving; it's from a UK govt report of independent studies
of the lethality of the new variant in the UK:
a. LSHTM: reported that the relative hazard of death within 28 days of test for VOC-infected individuals compared to non-VOC was 1.58 (95%CI 1.401.79), or 1.71 (95% CI 1.48- 1.97) if adjustment is made for misclassification of SGTF and missingness of data.
b. Imperial College London: mean ratio of case fatality ratio (CFR) for VOC-infected individuals compared to non-VOC was 1.36 (95%CI 1.18-1.56) by a case-control weighting method, 1.29 (95%CI 1.07-1.54) by a standardised CFR method.
...
6. Whilst earlier analyses using linked community testing and mortality data showed comparable increases in case fatality ratios, these were all based on the same datasets, and therefore subject to similar biases reducing the level of certainty in the findings. More recent analyses have added a wider range of data sets and been able to control for additional confounders, increasing confidence in the association of the VOC with increased disease severity.
7. Based on these analyses, it is likely that infection with VOC B.1.1.7 is associated with an increased risk of hospitalisation and death compared to infection with non-VOC viruses.
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/961042/S1095_NERVTAG_update_note_on_B.1.1.7_severity_20210211.pdf
b. Imperial College London: mean ratio of case fatality ratio (CFR) for VOC-infected individuals compared to non-VOC was 1.36 (95%CI 1.18-1.56) by a case-control weighting method, 1.29 (95%CI 1.07-1.54) by a standardised CFR method.
...
6. Whilst earlier analyses using linked community testing and mortality data showed comparable increases in case fatality ratios, these were all based on the same datasets, and therefore subject to similar biases reducing the level of certainty in the findings. More recent analyses have added a wider range of data sets and been able to control for additional confounders, increasing confidence in the association of the VOC with increased disease severity.
7. Based on these analyses, it is likely that infection with VOC B.1.1.7 is associated with an increased risk of hospitalisation and death compared to infection with non-VOC viruses.
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/961042/S1095_NERVTAG_update_note_on_B.1.1.7_severity_20210211.pdf
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Why are schools considered safe when all other indoor environments are not?
Generic Brad
Feb 2021
#47
They're proving that they ARE pretty safe. Its much worse on kids to keep them out.
oldsoftie
Feb 2021
#51
I have an almost form-fitting cloth mask, tied on behind head and neck, good nosewire.
moriah
Feb 2021
#45
Not really if you think about it. People are NOTORIOUS for letting their guard down too early.
oldsoftie
Feb 2021
#43
This isn't just vague handwaving; it's from a UK govt report of independent studies
muriel_volestrangler
Feb 2021
#41
So you're accusing Dr. Fauci and the Biden administration of lying to the American people, huh?
NickB79
Feb 2021
#20
and contact tracing. This is all on 45 and his "democratic hoax" rhetoric. Ignored it, mocked it.
Evolve Dammit
Feb 2021
#27
All true. I knew we were on our own after watching the cluster after Katrina. Good luck everybody.
Evolve Dammit
Feb 2021
#56
Wait, werent we told by the Trumpers that all this would go away the day after the election?
oldsoftie
Feb 2021
#44
I feel I am living the book by Greg Bear "Blood Music" where cells have intelligence
Escurumbele
Feb 2021
#57