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Ellipsis

(9,486 posts)
Fri Oct 19, 2012, 11:50 PM Oct 2012

As other polls show tight race, Gallup stands apart [View all]

Source: Reuters

When Obama opened up a wide lead in polls last month, Republicans accused researchers of interviewing too many Democrats. Those complaints evaporated when Romney surged ahead after his strong October 3 debate performance.

Now, the Obama campaign is questioning the validity of Gallup's methods after it released a poll earlier this week that showed Romney leading among likely voters in the handful of battleground states that will decide the election.

Obama pollster Joel Benenson called the Gallup survey an "extreme outlier" and said its formula to determine likely voters created a bias against Obama supporters. "Gallup's data is once again far out of line with other public pollsters," he wrote in a memo on Monday.

Republican strategist Karl Rove pointed out on Thursday that no candidate who has ever polled more than 50 percent in the Gallup poll at this point in a presidential race has gone on to lose the election. As it happens, Gallup had Romney at 51 percent that day.

Read more: http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/10/20/us-usa-campaign-gallup-idUSBRE89J02720121020

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Wishful thinking, Ham Rove. onehandle Oct 2012 #1
hhhhahhhhahhahhahahhahhahahahh! Ellipsis Oct 2012 #2
That is hilarious! hrmjustin Oct 2012 #9
agreed, gallop model is wrong, however, the President MUST close the deal on Monday /nt still_one Oct 2012 #3
yep, seal the deal Monday, and we can all feel good about hoping for the best! Divine Discontent Oct 2012 #13
Well if Karl Rove is involved, then we know something fishy is going on. I wonder who he sabrina 1 Oct 2012 #4
Could Mean the Fix is In and Gallup is In on It AndyTiedye Oct 2012 #26
If you poll 50% Democrats and 50% Republicans then the results will be 50/50. Spitfire of ATJ Oct 2012 #5
So Karl probably told them to poll 51% Republicans and 49% Democrats. Nothing would sabrina 1 Oct 2012 #7
One of the polling firms admitted to tossing Democrats in their "likely voter" results.... Spitfire of ATJ Oct 2012 #14
Would that be Karl "I have the REAL numbers" Rove? stopbush Oct 2012 #6
A likely voter ? ....... Grassy Knoll Oct 2012 #8
Ah, there's the Rove connection. Baitball Blogger Oct 2012 #10
Hahah! Yes, I remember BOTH of Karl Rove's virtuoso performances, no more than two weeks apart. TrollBuster9090 Oct 2012 #11
Gallup donated for Republican races before CultDJ Oct 2012 #12
Welcome to DU! Ellipsis Oct 2012 #16
LIGHTS OUT PROGRESSForwardJim Oct 2012 #15
Hello, Jim, welcome to DU! AverageJoe90 Oct 2012 #19
Woodhouse "We're way ahead" in NC, OH, IA PROGRESSForwardJim Oct 2012 #17
Setting the table for a rigged election Gabby Hayes Oct 2012 #18
Yep...and welcome to DU. zeemike Oct 2012 #22
This is a setup for a "steal" How many battleground states have voting machines with problems? kelliekat44 Oct 2012 #20
They are trying to steal Ohio using Tagg's machines and phony Gallup polls. McCamy Taylor Oct 2012 #21
We better agree to this now Z_California Oct 2012 #23
Gallup and Rove are right disndat Oct 2012 #24
Pig man comments. There is nothing that he wouldn't do! They are stealing the election! Kteachums Oct 2012 #25
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