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magical thyme

(14,881 posts)
20. In 2008 Nate Silver ranked them as having a rightward bias....this year
Sat Oct 20, 2012, 01:00 PM
Oct 2012

early on he rated them as slightly leftward but now says they've evened out.

But check this thread out for one DUer's 2008 results in swing states; they underrated Obama's vote in 4 out of 6 states.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251105016

Battle-ground State-Obama 2008 Margin of Victory/PPP-Final Obama poll margin just prior to 2008 election


Florida-Obama +2.8/PPP-Obama +2............................. Obama -0.8

Ohio-Obama+4.6/PPP-Obama +2.................................. Obama -2.6

Virginia-Obama+6.3/PPP-Obama+6................................. Obama -0.3

Colorado-Obama+9.0/PPP-Obama+10...............................Obama +1

North Carolina-Obama+0.3/PPP-Obama+1............................. Obama +0.7

Nevada-Obama+12.5/PPP-Obama+4...................................... Obama -7.5

And Nevada should actually read Obama -8.5!

Recommendations

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Obama leads by 2 in Virginia [View all] highplainsdem Oct 2012 OP
Any swing state sulphurdunn Oct 2012 #1
Virginia was the state that had voter registration forms being thrown out magical thyme Oct 2012 #4
PPP is a Dem pollster. Jennicut Oct 2012 #9
With regards to PPP, please check this thread Lex Oct 2012 #12
They were good during 2008 for the swing state polling. Jennicut Oct 2012 #17
True. I like to use averages of the main polls. They are tied today in VA. Which is good news. Honeycombe8 Oct 2012 #16
In 2008 Nate Silver ranked them as having a rightward bias....this year magical thyme Oct 2012 #20
Must we have this Debbie Downer paranoia ad nauseum? RBInMaine Oct 2012 #23
Wake up! sulphurdunn Oct 2012 #24
Bye Bye Romney "surge" Andy Stanton Oct 2012 #2
In VA 2theleft Oct 2012 #3
Awesome! BootinUp Oct 2012 #5
Thank you! As a VA resident, this makes me so happy!!!! forestpath Oct 2012 #6
Obama premiered his "Romneisa" in VA yesterday DavidL Oct 2012 #7
And, it is important for him to fire up young people--he was on the GMU campus. I would like to see spooky3 Oct 2012 #13
The fact that the older people favored Obama is encouraging! DavidL Oct 2012 #15
If VA goes blue again.. game over. DCBob Oct 2012 #8
Maybe Kaine's coattails can help the President byeya Oct 2012 #10
the polls show Kaine's race is too close for comfort also spooky3 Oct 2012 #14
Kaine's coattails, or Allen's Klan robes? carolinayellowdog Oct 2012 #28
VA has a lot of Obama/Kaine signs out. obxhead Oct 2012 #11
If Va. wants to save their mountians,state parks and their health- they should go 100% Obama Sunlei Oct 2012 #18
The polls are going berserk this cycle. TahitiNut Oct 2012 #19
All over the place. LisaL Oct 2012 #21
I don't believe these polls are truthful anyway because they try to make them close. Spitfire of ATJ Oct 2012 #22
Well Said! n/t DarthDem Oct 2012 #25
More from NOVA Jivenwail Oct 2012 #26
Ras daily swing state tracking Romney 50% Obama 46% mylegsareswollen Oct 2012 #27
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