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FBaggins

(28,767 posts)
86. Of course it would be suspended immediately
Sat Jul 17, 2021, 12:29 PM
Jul 2021

There are legitimate constitutional questions and just about any court would issue a temporary stay while those were adjudicated. If some court decided not to do so... that would just cause that decision to be appealed to a court that would... further delaying implementation. They can't just let the law take effect until the courts make up their minds... because some of the changes are irreversible (like those targeting gerrymandering)

I guess you assumed I meant he would use it instantaneously upon being filibustered

Don't kid yourself into thinking that anyone is buying that spin. Once again... your post was in direct reply to my claim that the change to requiring 41 votes to sustain a filibuster won't even come up. You then said, "it will come up the week of June 21". You also said "Schumer will force a vote" in that context (6/21) and clarified that it meant "force a rule change vote". You may no longer remember it, but it isn't an inference or an assumption. You were clearly saying not only that Manchin had agreed to change the rules, but that a vote on that was going to happen the following week.

That didn't happen. As you were told at the time... Schumer doesn't have the votes.

Both the senate and the streets are just getting warmed up.

While reporting seems to say exactly the opposite. That the Senate is shifting their focus to the budget and infrastructure and just paying lip service to voting rights.

But days after nearly 60 Texas Democrats made their dramatic exodus from Austin to Washington, many of them acknowledge that how that battle will unfold remains very uncertain — and that they have a rapidly closing window to capitalize on the national spotlight.

While they quickly secured meetings with Vice President Harris, Sen. Joe Manchin III (D-W.Va.) and other lawmakers in their first week in Washington, so far the Texans have been unable to push forward long-stalled federal voting rights legislation.

...snip...

“Time is not on our side,” Thierry said an interview.

The Texans have said they plan to remain in Washington through Aug. 7, when the special legislative session ordered by Texas Gov. Greg Abbott (R) is scheduled to expire. Their exact plan until then is still in the works.

...snip...

But the Texas Democrats face tough odds as they seek to spur Congress to action. Manchin and Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.) have publicly opposed changes to the filibuster, the Senate’s 60-vote supermajority requirement, which are necessary for the voting bill to advance.

Manchin’s posture did not budge even after the Texans pressed him in person. “Forget the filibuster,” the senator told reporters afterward.


https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/texas-democrats-washington-exodus/2021/07/17/c1ecdfc6-e57d-11eb-8aa5-5662858b696e_story.html

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

We have to do whatever it takes to make Manchin and Sinema irrelevant by winning seats in 2022 JohnSJ Jul 2021 #1
The counter-claim by some is that without HR1 we can't win more seats in 2022 FBaggins Jul 2021 #10
It'll be a lot harder but not impossible. Elessar Zappa Jul 2021 #17
+++ JohnSJ Jul 2021 #49
It will be impossible if battlegrounds succeed in nullifying popular vote counts. ancianita Jul 2021 #52
Nothing is impossible! Some of the GOPers may even be in jail if their is any justice at all!. joetheman Jul 2021 #62
That has already been proven to be a blind ally... diverdownjt Jul 2021 #67
O political analyst I know thinks HR1 will pass. brooklynite Jul 2021 #38
I don't think it will either FBaggins Jul 2021 #39
And hows that going down? quakerboy Jul 2021 #84
Will Democrats still control the House after 2022 if voting rights legislation doesn't pass? n/t PoliticAverse Jul 2021 #26
Nope. Gerrymandering alone will give the GOP the majority before a single vote is cast Fiendish Thingy Jul 2021 #30
Some in those gerrymandered districts might surprise us. And COVID.... joetheman Jul 2021 #63
Fight the fear. Just run the very best candidates we can and leave no position uncontested. joetheman Jul 2021 #65
So might crime and inflation. n/t Calista241 Jul 2021 #74
No. Republicans will gerrymander new districts to give themselves the win. Lonestarblue Jul 2021 #35
A naive narrative that ignores reality and is doomed to fail Fiendish Thingy Jul 2021 #34
+1,000,000 ancianita Jul 2021 #53
I don't know why so many supposedly smart people don't get it, Fiendish Thingy. Efilroft Sul Jul 2021 #55
what's your solution? LymphocyteLover Jul 2021 #59
I am speaking out to friends, family, politicians -- anybody -- to thwart the GOP here in Pennsylvania Efilroft Sul Jul 2021 #73
Thanks... I do hope our elected Dems find some way to fix this LymphocyteLover Jul 2021 #81
Good point but not sure what we can possibly do LymphocyteLover Jul 2021 #58
It's simple- if folks aren't willing to continue to work harder, then democracy will perish Fiendish Thingy Jul 2021 #68
Wisconsin keroro gunsou Jul 2021 #75
That's one- name three more seats that the state legislature won't overturn if Dems win. Nt Fiendish Thingy Jul 2021 #78
apologies keroro gunsou Jul 2021 #91
THIS 👆🏻👆🏻👆🏻 LenaBaby61 Jul 2021 #82
+ ,10000 lsewpershad Jul 2021 #46
Manchin gets money from ALEC (Koch Brothers) & Rupert Murdoch Botany Jul 2021 #2
How much does it cost to destroy Democracy in America? jmbar2 Jul 2021 #4
The old school fossil fuel $$ is backing Manchin big time. Botany Jul 2021 #8
How much does it cost to destroy Manchin, sorry motherfucker? rickyhall Jul 2021 #37
Why can't a Billionaire like, for example, Bloomberg (or else) tell Manchin... Justice matters. Jul 2021 #50
He's loyal to his xxqqqzme Jul 2021 #64
time to get rid of this false flag democrat and show him his republican ways out the door. AllaN01Bear Jul 2021 #3
Do you want McConnell as Majority Leader? karynnj Jul 2021 #19
In other words, Manchin stands with the Minority ProudMNDemocrat Jul 2021 #5
Whatever the Republicans have on Manchin we need to up pandr32 Jul 2021 #6
What they have is a statewide election in West Virginia localroger Jul 2021 #16
I agree that he needs to win in state pandr32 Jul 2021 #20
He probably won't win, no matter his position on things. Unless he becomes Republican. SharonAnn Jul 2021 #27
There's a view that he can only win as a Democrat. Igel Jul 2021 #44
GAH! sakabatou Jul 2021 #7
Manchin should be treated like the Trump administration were treated. Ask them Maraya1969 Jul 2021 #9
It takes a narcissist to refuse to listen to anyone but himself rhiannon55 Jul 2021 #11
"Listen" does not mean to then change positions karynnj Jul 2021 #22
It's not just Manchin: George II Jul 2021 #12
Voting rights Elessar Zappa Jul 2021 #18
But Manchin (and Sinema) aren't the only ones standing in the way of the Democratic Legislative.... George II Jul 2021 #23
Didn't say they were Elessar Zappa Jul 2021 #25
I'm worried about everything Biden, Schumer, Pelosi and the majority of Democrats are pushing. George II Jul 2021 #33
Appears they're all after the same endgame however they bring it about. Budi Jul 2021 #57
BOTH are important and essential karynnj Jul 2021 #32
K & R Helps to know who else is on board with evil Manchin Budi Jul 2021 #56
Never pass up a shot at taking a swipe at the progressive block TiberiusB Jul 2021 #76
If any Dem promises to not vote for the reconciliation bill, in exchange for the bi-partisan bill.. Calista241 Jul 2021 #85
I know we aren't supposed to attack Democrats, but this is getting very tiresome. patphil Jul 2021 #13
I've had enough . Historic NY Jul 2021 #72
Without HR1, Texas is completely Fucked in 2022 after redistricting Shell_Seas Jul 2021 #14
my tweet jmbar2 Jul 2021 #15
Is this verified? OneCrazyDiamond Jul 2021 #54
Manchin don't worry about it when mitch mcconnell retakes control he will get rid filibuster mbmsr Jul 2021 #21
Look on the bright side bucolic_frolic Jul 2021 #24
Only in the United States do we have a government run by the minority party. KS Toronado Jul 2021 #28
I assume someone has pointed out to Manchin Bayard Jul 2021 #29
Manchin is the kind of guy who would... LudwigPastorius Jul 2021 #31
A carve out is not the same as a modification of the filibuster rule Fiendish Thingy Jul 2021 #36
Sigh... still stuck on that one, eh? FBaggins Jul 2021 #41
I guess we'll find out soon enough, as Schumer seems intent on forcing the issue. Fiendish Thingy Jul 2021 #45
How long can you keep up that hope? FBaggins Jul 2021 #48
This summer has always been the timeline I have perceived, don't know where you got "any day now" Fiendish Thingy Jul 2021 #66
I'm afraid your memory is faulty. It wasn't implied... it was stated outright. FBaggins Jul 2021 #79
You assume a court would suspend the law immediately, I disagree Fiendish Thingy Jul 2021 #80
Of course it would be suspended immediately FBaggins Jul 2021 #86
Then we disagree- if any court grants a stay, it will be appealed until the stay is removed Fiendish Thingy Jul 2021 #87
What would the rationale for removing the stay be? FBaggins Jul 2021 #88
Congress could argue it has the constitutional right to direct federal elections Fiendish Thingy Jul 2021 #89
This message was self-deleted by its author FBaggins Jul 2021 #90
So what's new? Etherealoc1 Jul 2021 #40
I need a drink.....JFC..when people ask for help....what do some do... turbinetree Jul 2021 #42
Stuck on a chryon stillcool Jul 2021 #43
Time to get rid of this lsewpershad Jul 2021 #47
It ain't just ONE DINO we have to 'get rid of'. Appears there are a few more who are willing to ... Budi Jul 2021 #61
Can we find a way to pay him more than who ever is funding his obstruction? dbonds Jul 2021 #51
I propose a GoFundMe jmbar2 Jul 2021 #69
I hope one day in the future vercetti2021 Jul 2021 #60
Is Manchin's 15 minutes of fame up yet? LastLiberal in PalmSprings Jul 2021 #70
Texas Democrats out, Manchin goes in Grimelle Jul 2021 #71
Where in Texas? czarjak Jul 2021 #77
So.. at what point does he switch sides? quakerboy Jul 2021 #83
Shameful. BeckyDem Jul 2021 #92
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