Manchin Shoots Down Filibuster Carveout For Voting Rights After Meeting With Texas Dems

[FBaggins]

88. What would the rationale for removing the stay be?

We couldn't argue that there is no irreparable injury, because states would have to start changing their laws right away in order to implement some of the requirements. Such that the 2022 election would end up under those rules even if the courts later decided that the change was unconstitutional.

That leaves only an argument that the opposition can't win on the merits... and that's a tough argument to win because the legislation is so broad. Parts of HR1 are pretty tightly crafted, but others are not nearly as clear-cut. There are plenty of wedges that a conservative justice could push on to break pieces of it off.

One thing we seem to agree on is the stakes

Sorry. I don't agree there either. I go along with that rhetoric because it's useful. But we've won elections for decades with structural challenges much worse than what we're seeing. It won't end the "American Experiment" or democracy itself.

I think success with the rhetoric is to drive turnout... which should make more of a difference than the rule changes will make in the other direction.