Poland: Russian-made missile fell on our country, killing 2

[muriel_volestrangler]

78. Some open source analysis suggesting an S-300 missile

Another possibility may be that what struck the Polish farm was a stray Ukrainian surface-to-air missile. There have been instances elsewhere in the world where errant SAMs have hit the ground after traveling very long distances after missing their intended target. Some observers have noted potential similarities between portions of the reported wreckage recovered in Poland and missiles used in the S-300 surface-to-air missile system. The Russian and Ukrainian militaries have both employed variants of the S-300 in the current conflict, and Russia's armed forces have used them as surface-to-surface weapons. Poland would seem out of range of at least known Russian S-300 units when employed against ground targets.

https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/missile-hits-poland-after-crossing-ukraine-border-reports

The BBC's Mark Urban (who is pretty reliable on defence) said an open source intelligence analysis on Twitter (not sure if this is the same people as The Drive is quoting or not) that he thinks has been reliable in the past leans this way. What can be said about range from where the Russians have them (in Belarus?) remains to be seen.