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In reply to the discussion: Donald Trump Suffers Huge Vote Against Him in Pennsylvania Primary [View all]BumRushDaShow
(172,716 posts)that based on the election that we just had here in PA yesterday, there was a BIG "protest vote" on the GOP side, that has been consistent with almost every state that has had a primary so far with Haley somewhere on the ticket, where she has received somewhere around 10% - 16% of the GOP primary vote.
I.e., these are people who did NOT vote for 45.
Meanwhile the media has generally IGNORED THIS and instead focused on the "uncommitted" or "Bob" or Phillips vote that has generally been (on average), at 10% or less, in order to garner misplaced FUD.
This type of FUD happened in 2022 when Democrats rushed to "save" Patty Murray in WA, going by "polls" that proclaimed she was almost tied with her GOP opponent and it was BULLSHIT. But Democrats diverted money from OTHER races to solidify what eventually became a BLOWOUT by her -
By Jim Rutenberg, Ken Bensinger and Steve Eder
Dec. 31, 2022
Senator Patty Murray, a Democrat, had consistently won re-election by healthy margins in her three decades representing Washington State. This year seemed no different: By midsummer, polls showed her cruising to victory over a Republican newcomer, Tiffany Smiley, by as much as 20 percentage points.
So when a survey in late September by the Republican-leaning Trafalgar Group showed Ms. Murray clinging to a lead of just two points, it seemed like an aberration. But in October, two more Republican-leaning polls put Ms. Murray barely ahead, and a third said the race was a dead heat.
(snip)
Ms. Murrays own polling showed her with a comfortable lead, and a nonprofit regional news site, using an established local pollster, had her up by 13. Unwilling to take chances, however, she went on the defensive, scuttling her practice of lavishing some of her war chest she amassed $20 million on more vulnerable Democratic candidates elsewhere. Instead, she reaped financial help from the partys national Senate committee and supportive super PACs resources that would, as a result, be unavailable to other Democrats.
A similar sequence of events played out in battlegrounds nationwide. Surveys showing strength for Republicans, often from the same partisan pollsters, set Democratic klaxons blaring in Pennsylvania, New Hampshire and Colorado. Coupled with the political factors already favoring Republicans including inflation and President Bidens unpopularity the skewed polls helped feed what quickly became an inescapable political narrative: A Republican wave election was about to hit the country with hurricane force. Democrats in each of those states went on to win their Senate races. Ms. Murray clobbered Ms. Smiley by nearly 15 points.
(snip)
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/31/us/politics/polling-election-2022-red-wave.html
And yes I agree that we are fine so far. We just need to make sure to GOTV for the general.