Justice Kennedy is essentially a libertarian in outlook.
If it's 5-4, I can reasonably imagine he'd side with the more liberal Justices. Don't forget, he also authored the decision in Lawrence vs. Texas so there's reason to be optimistic.
However, I will say that if the Supreme Court strikes down every state's law banning gay marriage, you can most assuredly count on wingnut heads exploding across the land, from sea to shining sea, with the force of the Tsar Bomba nuclear test. I'd respectfully suggest that you might want to make sure you're not anywhere near wingnut-populated areas. Could be dangerous.
As for me, though I'm overseas, I certainly would be delighted if ALL the anti-SSM laws were struck down, as many of my LGBT friends back in the States could get married if they so choose. And of course, MOAR WINGNUT TEARZ !!!!
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