Fox Anchor Greg Kelly (And Son of NYC Police Commissioner) Accused Of Rape

[caseymoz]

44. No, that's not the kind of logic that did it.

One has to see that criminals, such as the extortionist in the Lacrosse case, are not the brightest people, and in that case, she did "set it up." I seem to remember she was a stripper, and apparently did have sex with one or more of them, so after the fact, she didn't really think through her options.

In this case, it seems that it's a woman who had months to think about this. And unlike the Lacrosse case, she wouldn't be blackmailing the wealthy, or going for media attention. She's throwing herself into the jaws of the police power structure. That's something that would have made the woman in the Lacrosse case recoil.

And I'll point this out: The Lacrosse case was exceptional. Only about two percent of accused rapes are fake (my estimate). About ten percent more may be ambiguous, where, say, consent was given then withdrawn. Chance says that after the accusation, you could have guessed rape had occurred and been right close to ninety percent of the time.

The motive for faking a rape, generally, is very indirect and let's say, more dependent on scheming and calculation. Whereas the motive for rape itself is quite direct. It's not like a rapist performs his crime for monetary gain or as an attempt at publicity. This makes rapes for more prevalent than faked ones.

And the question I asked was still fair in the Lacrosse case: why would she fake this? In the Lacrosse case, the answer finally came out.