Republicans 'Did Not Show Up' In Texas Election Won By Democrats

[Torchlight]

5. I think we'll see evidence of meaningful crossover of independents and some GOP-aligned voters

once the precinct-level and voter-registration data analysis are released.

Star Telegram (local paper) suggested that almost all of the independents and some of the Republicans voted Democratic in this contest, and lower overall turnout (special election and horrible weather- for us) magnified the influence of voters who cross typical party lines. This sort of pattern, with GOP identifiers staying home or breaking for the Democratic candidate in unusually high numbers is exactly the kind of measurable crossover/defection that bodes well for November.

I'll call it a Win, as well as calling it a Leading Indicator.