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caseymoz

(5,763 posts)
5. What was wrong with that source?
Thu Mar 28, 2013, 12:04 AM
Mar 2013

The article you link to was published today. You could hardly criticize anyone for opinions based on information that wasn't previously available.

I'm not certain I follow what you're saying. By "doomer contrarians," are you talking about those who believe avoiding or mitigating Global Warming is a lost cause, and we should learn to adjust to the changes? That seems to be who you're criticizing.

What limits people in understanding comes down to one thing: reading speed. It's hard to get informed about Global Warming, or anything, when you can't take in the information. If it takes a person 3 months to read a 500 page novel, and they're really trying to go quicker, then it doesn't matter how many articles and references you throw at them. Meanwhile, a reading rate like that is very discouraging. From there, they do the best with the information their minds can get to. But they also have to take shortcuts and, to some degree, fake it, use inductive logic and guess.

Really in the Internet Age, the slowest thing in the process is the human mind. People must learn to read fast.

To get back on topic, what is wrong with this source? He's a scientist, but when Alder Stone talks about hope, that's not a scientific principle. He's speaking outside his expertise. This is important, because after he's committed all that time to earning his four degrees, it means he's actually put in less time learning things outside his specialties than the average person his age.

There's still a good chance that he's right. And I guess if optimism is your motivator, that's intolerable. However, saying it's not hopeful or even hopeless is far different than saying there's no point in trying. Not when the survival of the whole human species is at stake, not to mention the survival of other life.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

calling out is not good NMDemDist2 Mar 2013 #1
I just wanted to provide a real example of what's happening, and nothing else. AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #6
Climate change science is reliable daleo Mar 2013 #2
Very true. AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #8
is "doomers" your favorite word? CreekDog Mar 2013 #3
Only one near term feedback contributes significantly to temperature change. joshcryer Mar 2013 #19
K&R SunSeeker Mar 2013 #4
Thanks, SunSeeker. AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #7
I feel it's important to get the facts out. SunSeeker Mar 2013 #13
You're welcome, and I do my best. AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #25
What was wrong with that source? caseymoz Mar 2013 #5
What gets ignored is the AGGI Benton D Struckcheon Mar 2013 #9
Thanks for the link, Benton. n/t AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #11
NP. n/t Benton D Struckcheon Mar 2013 #12
There's more to it than that. AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #10
So you post an article about global warming to camouflage your attack on environmentalists? CreekDog Mar 2013 #37
I think you're getting a little delusional, my friend, and all I can say is..... AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #38
Except that the large feedback loops are just now kicking in NickB79 Mar 2013 #14
The article doesn't even talk about feedbacks. joshcryer Mar 2013 #18
Good point. It seems like 1C is the new 2C NickB79 Mar 2013 #21
Nah, not really. AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #23
Outside of what's going on in the Arctic? NickB79 Mar 2013 #26
You do realize I never actually implied what you think I did, right? AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #27
Like joshcryer pointed out, the temperature estimates were fairly accurate NickB79 Mar 2013 #29
"Completely missed?" AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #30
Um, "accurate, outside the rate melting of the Arctic ice caps." joshcryer Mar 2013 #40
There may be a reason for the clathrate problem, however: AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #53
I made no mention of the clathrate gun. joshcryer Mar 2013 #59
Some cases? Name one where the outlook is positive. joshcryer Mar 2013 #39
To be frank, Either you don't know where to look, or you don't even want to try. AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #44
Both of those are links to warming predictions. joshcryer Mar 2013 #48
Nice try. AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #51
It doesn't. joshcryer Mar 2013 #58
..... AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #22
Again, outside of the Arctic? NickB79 Mar 2013 #28
I used to think 2016 myself. AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #31
2011-2012, you mean. joshcryer Mar 2013 #41
No, 2016 was the date that I thought we'd see our first ice-free day. AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #42
You said volume has "gone back to 2011 levels." joshcryer Mar 2013 #49
Maybe they were bad years, but it doesn't really change anything. AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #52
It certainly changes your implication. joshcryer Mar 2013 #57
Even though the PIOMAS graph data clearly backs up the latter. AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #64
Ice area is not the same as volume, and you know it. joshcryer Mar 2013 #67
You continue to lie & take me out of context, as usual. AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #70
You falsely used a PIOMAS graph. joshcryer Mar 2013 #74
I didn't do that and you know it. AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #76
You acted as if the ice volume recovered. joshcryer Mar 2013 #77
You took me out of context, once again(as is typical). AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #80
Contrarians are the 'show me' crowd. They'll believe it when they see it lunatica Mar 2013 #15
It's not just them.....n/t AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #24
Climate change isn't just temperature. joshcryer Mar 2013 #16
Okay, but I never said or implied that it WAS the only factor. n/t AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #46
"IPCC has proven to be largely correct" joshcryer Mar 2013 #47
It was also correct in most other areas, too. AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #50
AR4 didn't even consider sea level rise from melt. joshcryer Mar 2013 #55
What I've said still stands. AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #56
That's just false, though, what you said is false. joshcryer Mar 2013 #60
The IPCC is not a regional weather forecasting system muriel_volestrangler Mar 2013 #62
Very true. AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #65
This is incorrect, it is affecting Russia, China, the United States, and Europe. joshcryer Mar 2013 #66
Sorry, but Muriel is likely right; none of them are connected to one another, as far as can be seen. AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #69
No, they're connected to climate change. joshcryer Mar 2013 #72
"Minimizing"? AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #63
"it's not just the deniers, either, by the way" joshcryer Mar 2013 #68
"Rosy picture"? GTFO! AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #71
You call me a contrarian and I merely post facts. joshcryer Mar 2013 #73
It's the other way around, actually. Your notions don't fit with my facts. AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #75
You don't post facts. joshcryer Mar 2013 #78
You don't know that for sure.....neither of us does. AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #79
In 3 or 4 years, we'll see who's right. joshcryer Mar 2013 #81
..... AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #82
I don't think it's inevitable, either. Just likely. joshcryer Mar 2013 #83
Some others WOULD go that far, though. n/t AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #84
The Deniers PolitFreak Mar 2013 #17
I don't doubt climate change or that we are part of the cause, but ... bemildred Mar 2013 #20
Well..... AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #32
I stand by what I said. bemildred Mar 2013 #35
You may have a point. AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #54
Thank you. bemildred Mar 2013 #61
You make a powerful observation. sofa king Mar 2013 #33
Thanks. AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #34
Yeah, they're a mess. sofa king Mar 2013 #36
misleading pack of lies quadrature Mar 2013 #43
Erm....what? n/t AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #45
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