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In reply to the discussion: Climate change models predict remarkably accurate results [View all]bemildred
(90,061 posts)I used to do sims. They are mathematical models, basically. They can be very useful abstractions, but they should not be mistaken for experiments in the real world. Garbage in, garbage out. Good stuff in, good stuff out.
And there is no dependable shortcut for seeing the future, if you want to know, you need to live until then.
And that is without even considering "Black Swans" and the like, or Goedel's Theorem and the various things it is equivalent to, both of which tell you that in fact reality is not compelled by our mathematical abstractions.
I like the precautionary principle: don't fuck around with stuff you don't understand. You never get in more trouble then when you think you know exactly what you are doing.
And climate change, well, I think it is already much too late in one sense, but there is no reason to think we can't do something about it, in another.
But the world is a beautiful place, it's a shame to sell if off for the likes of our Plutocracy, who after all are not nice people.