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In reply to the discussion: George Zimmerman Emerged From Hiding for Truck Crash Rescue [View all]cosmicone
(11,014 posts)Some things are prima facie untrue and don't need proof. If you read that Zimmy flew across the Atlantic simply by flapping his arms in the air, it has to be untrue with no evidence required.
This is based upon probabilistic constructs and use of "statistical power" -- which is technically 1-β
When you consider the odds of a) an injury accident occurring at a given intersection, compounding those with b) the odds of having a live victim needing a rescue and further compounding those with c) the odds of a person who is hiding just happening to be there and rescuing this victim before police arrived you have an extremely unlikely event to have occurred by chance alone.
Let's say there is one accident at that intersection every month and 1% of those accidents have someone injured needing a rescue. Further consider that there are some 5,000 people who live in the surrounding area. The odds of one of those people being at the scene are 1/5000*1/12*1/100 = 1.66E-7 (or 0.0000000166.) The odds of being struck by a meteor are actually higher!