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In reply to the discussion: MSF confirms Syria 'chemical deaths' [View all]Surya Gayatri
(15,445 posts)10. "Obama draws a line in the sand on Syria"...
http://www.abc.net.au/unleashed/4412172.html
6 December 2012
"America has stepped up its rhetoric on Syria precisely because it doesn't want to get involved in any intervention there, writes Adam Lockyer."
.../
"As some have done, it is tempting to view these comments as a "precursor" to an imminent American intervention in the Syrian conflict. However, the opposite is true. Washington has been watching the Assad regime's increasing use of artillery, mortars and attack aircraft in populated areas and interpreted this as desperation. They believe that the regime is in its death throes, frantically seeking to take any advantage.
Therefore, when intelligence reports emerged that the regime's forces were preparing Syria's stockpiles of chemical weapons (including, reportedly, sarin, mustard and VX nerve gas) for deployment, the United States was understandably concerned. This was partly due to genuine humanitarian fears. But the motivation probably comes more from the Obama administration having done all that it can to not be sucked into the conflict. The use of chemical weapons would make that impossible."
It would appear that the "line-drawing" goes back much further than you imply.
6 December 2012
"America has stepped up its rhetoric on Syria precisely because it doesn't want to get involved in any intervention there, writes Adam Lockyer."
.../
"As some have done, it is tempting to view these comments as a "precursor" to an imminent American intervention in the Syrian conflict. However, the opposite is true. Washington has been watching the Assad regime's increasing use of artillery, mortars and attack aircraft in populated areas and interpreted this as desperation. They believe that the regime is in its death throes, frantically seeking to take any advantage.
Therefore, when intelligence reports emerged that the regime's forces were preparing Syria's stockpiles of chemical weapons (including, reportedly, sarin, mustard and VX nerve gas) for deployment, the United States was understandably concerned. This was partly due to genuine humanitarian fears. But the motivation probably comes more from the Obama administration having done all that it can to not be sucked into the conflict. The use of chemical weapons would make that impossible."
It would appear that the "line-drawing" goes back much further than you imply.
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Using chemical weapons has been given as something beyond the pale for a long time -
karynnj
Aug 2013
#11
What a "panier de crabes" (basket of crabs) as the French would call it...
Surya Gayatri
Aug 2013
#12
Per Juan Cole, the government does benefit, if the dictator wants to terrorize his population.
pampango
Aug 2013
#17
Thanks for posting this discussion from Juan Cole. He's a pretty credible analyst.
Surya Gayatri
Aug 2013
#18
That is a very risky calculation. Some benefits, huge possible blowback.
Comrade Grumpy
Aug 2013
#27
Assad's purported gains do not equate with an expectation of victory any time soon.
branford
Aug 2013
#46
Sorry, not buying that. Stakes are too great in keeping the US and NATO out. Assad isn't crazy or
leveymg
Aug 2013
#28
Actually, the Syrian government has been making steady gains against the rebels.
Comrade Grumpy
Aug 2013
#40
As I mentioned in another post in this thread, Assad's "gains" are a far cry from victory.
branford
Aug 2013
#47
The Middle East reminds me of the snake pit scene from "Indiana Jones and the Lost Ark"...
Surya Gayatri
Aug 2013
#30