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ieoeja

(9,748 posts)

111. Based on your link I would say Democrats have a lot more to be optimistic about than everyone says.

Wed Feb 29, 2012, 03:26 PM

Feb 2012

With Olympia Snowe dropping out, Republicans do not have a single Senator falling in the Strong GOP category now. Given that the Republicans are running a Teabagger, that seat *has* to flip from Strong GOP Hold to Strong DEM Take. So breaking it down by strength we have:

GOP - DEM - Strength of Predication

0 - 6 - Strong
5 - 8 - Solid
4 - 1 - Moderate
4 - 5 - Weak

Actually, I am probably allowing myself to be fooled by the percentages. It doesn't really matter that 70% of Dems are Strong/Solid versus only 38.5% of the GOP. Now-vs-prediction where Dems currently lose one is what I suppose really counts.

Still, it says something about the state of the parties and the feeling around the country.

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Sen. Olympia Snowe ends run for re-election [View all] NWHarkness Feb 2012 OP

this should be a state we can pick up a seat in JI7 Feb 2012 #1

I think she feared a crazy Teabagger for an opponent. Maine has a Teabag governor Liberal_Stalwart71 Feb 2012 #5

Our Tea Bag Governor won with 36% of the vote WonderGrunion Feb 2012 #40

Oh no. I can't imagine she feared that primary opponent. MaineDem Feb 2012 #52

I agree with you. MADem Feb 2012 #93

Governor 38% will unite dems magical thyme Feb 2012 #104

Oh, this is huge. NWHarkness Feb 2012 #6

What used to be her party> Returning Survivor Feb 2012 #44

That would be wonderful wryter2000 Feb 2012 #57

They will run a bagger> Returning Survivor Feb 2012 #108

I hope so--the current governor is creepy-crazy. MADem Feb 2012 #92

WOW! This is huge news! Liberal_Stalwart71 Feb 2012 #2

Reaction, Mainer's? Will this go to a RWer teabagger or do Dems have a shot? hlthe2b Feb 2012 #3

This automatically becomes Lean Democrat NWHarkness Feb 2012 #7

Good to hear. elleng Feb 2012 #9

Four candidates announced NWHarkness Feb 2012 #13

Here's a critical and funny (I think) review of the Democratic field. bluedigger Feb 2012 #26

Al is an equal opportunity funny man MaineDem Feb 2012 #31

At the time, it was political whimsy. bluedigger Feb 2012 #35

He's a hot shit, isn't he? MADem Feb 2012 #94

"Hot skitch" is how my ex-MIL would have put it, lol. bluedigger Feb 2012 #96

Hee hee...we know, though, what she meant, don't we? MADem Feb 2012 #101

I'd hate to lose Pingree as my rep magical thyme Feb 2012 #102

Carpe Diem. bluedigger Feb 2012 #103

she writes to her constituents magical thyme Feb 2012 #106

You're running a skinny Democrat? aquart Feb 2012 #48

Maine druidqueen Feb 2012 #91

Wow Robbins Feb 2012 #4

This... Is... Awesome :) craigmatic Feb 2012 #8

Good, she lied thru her teeth about the Public Option. Good bye. grantcart Feb 2012 #10

agreed kenfrequed Feb 2012 #18

and after voting for the health care bill in committee, voted against it on the floor CreekDog Feb 2012 #47

Democratic pickup. We keep the Senate. nt onehandle Feb 2012 #11

It ain't done till its done quakerboy Feb 2012 #14

Man, I hope we don't end the filibuster. sofa king Feb 2012 #59

Disagree quakerboy Feb 2012 #65

I'm ok with the Filibuster - as long as they actually stand up and talk the whole time. SWTORFanatic Feb 2012 #105

Or even just "they say they will fillibuster the bill, so we won't even bring it for a vote" quakerboy Feb 2012 #115

I couldn't agree more. harmonicon Feb 2012 #118

Normally, I'd agree with you. Chan790 Feb 2012 #82

That's a viable possibility. sofa king Feb 2012 #109

And Warren will beat Brown in Mass as well. RedSpartan Feb 2012 #20

A 50/50 majority with Biden as our trump card. Lasher Feb 2012 #84

Based on your link I would say Democrats have a lot more to be optimistic about than everyone says. ieoeja Feb 2012 #111

Don't make too much of the website I linked. Lasher Feb 2012 #117

we will get the seat back hrmjustin Feb 2012 #12

oh please oh please oh please d_b Feb 2012 #15

Historically I think that she has not had a hard time getting re-elected. However, avebury Feb 2012 #16

Meh... kenfrequed Feb 2012 #27

BDN article on Snowe's decision NWHarkness Feb 2012 #17

Reading that article, a party switch may be on tap Strelnikov_ Feb 2012 #67

Here's the current Democratic field... brooklynite Feb 2012 #19

Washington Post: "Democrats will be heavy favorites to steal this seat from Republicans" muriel_volestrangler Feb 2012 #21

There will be a Maine Democrat in the Senate in 2013 jpak Feb 2012 #22

That's Ed Muskie's and George Mitchell's seat. Pab Sungenis Feb 2012 #68

Her statement makes it sound like she's fed up with the GOP mainer Feb 2012 #23

She could run 3rd party and win. She's well-liked in Maine. Chipper Chat Feb 2012 #72

I don't see that happening at all MaineDem Feb 2012 #73

Yeah, sounds like she's had enough. Chipper Chat Feb 2012 #98

When is the other one's seat up? Collins. Arugula Latte Feb 2012 #24

Collins would be the very last "moderate" Republican in Congress Zambero Feb 2012 #83

She should go Indy, and sit next to Bernie...! nt MADem Feb 2012 #95

Good! Hey Democrat's, Don't fuck it up! n/t Firebrand Gary Feb 2012 #25

TPM Livewire: Dems: Maine Is Prime Pickup Opportunity With Snowe Gone flpoljunkie Feb 2012 #28

My phone and emails have been going nuts! MaineDem Feb 2012 #29

Yes, if we get the right candidate and if some indy candidate doesn't frig it up for us. RBInMaine Feb 2012 #32

I don't believe an indie cn put together the signatures NWHarkness Feb 2012 #39

Independents have until June 1 to file petitions but... MaineDem Feb 2012 #89

Yes, we have a very good chance to pick up this seat now. We have some good candidates: RBInMaine Feb 2012 #30

That'll change. More mainstream GOPers will come forward MaineDem Feb 2012 #34

Wow just wow! EmeraldCityGrl Feb 2012 #33

Good point MaineDem Feb 2012 #36

Don't need a new candidate jeff47 Feb 2012 #42

Four. MaineDem Feb 2012 #54

I'm just not all that concerned if they don't have anyone on the ballot. jeff47 Feb 2012 #110

I don't see the logic in that NWHarkness Feb 2012 #41

Until we know who the gop candidate EmeraldCityGrl Feb 2012 #53

Yeah, Chellie Pingree NWHarkness Feb 2012 #64

Just read as much about her as I could find and she sounds EmeraldCityGrl Feb 2012 #77

It can't help the GOP MaineDem Feb 2012 #55

She could have simply switched parties OmahaBlueDog Feb 2012 #37

Who is this "we" you speak of? NWHarkness Feb 2012 #43

I don't think Snowe could switch parties. She's a Republican through and through. Gormy Cuss Feb 2012 #45

if she could win a Democratic primary CreekDog Feb 2012 #51

Good point, but I was really thinking of this election only OmahaBlueDog Feb 2012 #116

it's before the filing deadline for the primary, why wouldn't they field someone? CreekDog Feb 2012 #124

Realizing it's a moot point, how would you get the signatures by the 15th? OmahaBlueDog Mar 2012 #125

Are you kidding me? You think they can't collect 2,000 signatures in 15 days? CreekDog Mar 2012 #126

No, I'm not kidding you - I didn't realize the threshold was as low as 2K OmahaBlueDog Mar 2012 #127

"We" don't want her. n/t MaineDem Feb 2012 #56

this gives democrats an unexpected opportunity book_worm Feb 2012 #38

Holy shit. One of the Maine ladies quit????? aquart Feb 2012 #46

Wow! Arkana Feb 2012 #49

2 consecutive days of good news with regard to the Senate existentialist Feb 2012 #50

Did I miss that? Kerrey is running for the Senate now? Firebrand Gary Feb 2012 #58

Yes existentialist Feb 2012 #76

Never liked her. . . BigDemVoter Feb 2012 #60

It's a Dodge... Bruce Wayne Feb 2012 #61

This is a likely pick-up. Dawson Leery Feb 2012 #62

Four Dems so far MaineDem Feb 2012 #63

We wish you good luck with this new opportunity! FailureToCommunicate Feb 2012 #69

Benjamin Pollard NWHarkness Feb 2012 #75

Huge effort to draft Chellie Pingree sandyd921 Feb 2012 #120

She's taken out nomination papers. MaineDem Feb 2012 #121

Maybe she wants her soul back lunatica Feb 2012 #66

Spam deleted by cyberswede (MIR Team) dsfgerher Feb 2012 #70

She never really seemed like the type for today's Repuke Party. Crunchy Frog Feb 2012 #71

Congratulations Republicans fightthegoodfightnow Feb 2012 #74

I Don't Give Snowe Any Slack DallasNE Feb 2012 #78

Good potential pickup fujiyama Feb 2012 #79

wow, this is awesome high density Feb 2012 #80

Looks like the Republicans have eaten one of their own!! center rising Feb 2012 #81

Not really surprising. She didn't want to run last time. Has osteoporosis. RBInMaine Feb 2012 #85

"My way or the highway".....This is how she described chelsea0011 Feb 2012 #86

Good riddance. Too bad Collins will still be there though. (nt) PotatoChip Feb 2012 #87

There goes another moderate. spicegal Feb 2012 #88

Good riddance to the coy one Tom Ripley Feb 2012 #90

Coy one? She voted for repeal of DADT. I think she was one of the "reasonable ones." MADem Feb 2012 #107

Olympia Snowe was one of the few republicans I liked. She was an old school republican LynneSin Feb 2012 #97

She voted with the assholes most of the time. Warren Stupidity Feb 2012 #99

Oh I know that but for a republican she was tolerable LynneSin Feb 2012 #100

BYE BYE SNOWE, HELLO CHELLIE PINGREE! drynberg Feb 2012 #112

Congressman Michaud has taken out nomination papers for Senate MaineDem Feb 2012 #113

This is going to be crazy; former Governor Baldacci now in the race. MaineDem Feb 2012 #114

If Pingree gets it, her House seat will be vacant and... mainer Feb 2012 #119

Her seat is up for re-election in November like all members of COngress MaineDem Feb 2012 #122

Spam deleted by Skinner (MIR Team) gfhrtsdfw Feb 2012 #123

A good analysis of the demographics in Maine MaineDem Mar 2012 #128

Congressman Michaud is NOT running for Senate seat MaineDem Mar 2012 #129