The Uninsured Are Turning Against Obamacare. That's A Problem

[rpannier]

2. The first question that needs to be asked is

Are these the exact same people they polled in September?
If they're only asking uninsured than it's likely not the same people.

If I want people to do X and 66% of 1000 people think it's a good idea and 34% of the people think it's a bad idea then the numbers of people who don't like the idea that will do it is probably negligible; let's say 5%, so that means 17 of them 340 did it. That makes the anti-pool slightly smaller.
From the "It's a good idea pool" the numbers will likely be much higher, say 75%. So that's 495 people pulled from the pool, leaving about 155 people who like the idea left. So the numbers will now skew in the opposite direction.

Point is... those that like it have, for the most part, enrolled making the sampling more negative because they didn't sign up and likely won't until the last second