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In reply to the discussion: Moscow signals concern for Russians in Estonia [View all]Nuclear Unicorn
(19,497 posts)and then some circumstance leading the ultra-nationalists to call his bluster. Or maybe the transplanted Russians spoken of in Post #14 start agitating and get out of control or the Estonians seek to suppress their disruptions/evict them. Or maybe Russia's neighbors mobilize troops and Russia responds in kind and some twitchy conscript somewhere makes a mistake.
If nothing else I think we can agree Putin is arrogant. In that arrogance he may well overestimate his ability to anticipate and control all the variables. My Lover Boy has a saying: If you need to be someplace there is only 1 compass azimuth that will get you there and 359 ways to get lost. Even being "close" will do nothing more than increase your deviation the further you go.
Putin is a thug. We cannot back down. But I'm still scared as hell.