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In reply to the discussion: Billionaire mogul Sheldon Adelson looks for mainstream Republican who can win in 2016 [View all]Jim Lane
(11,175 posts)Republicans will start out saying "No more Bushes" and mean it. Then will come the debate where Ted Cruz says something racist. Then will come the press conference where Rand Paul demonstrates a complete ignorance of some basic historical fact. After a few months of this sort of thing, Jeb will be picking up supporters who say, in effect, "Well, at least he won't horribly embarrass us."
Jeb might well also have the advantage Romney had in 2012 -- being the only serious competitor for what's left of the centrist wing of the GOP, while a bunch of Cruz/Paul types compete for the fundies, Tea Partiers, chickenhawks, gun nuts, and assorted RWNJ's. Jeb's chance of being in that position, and riding it to the nomination, is obviously greater in light of Christie's recent setbacks.